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Points per 100 Shots Calculation

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170405.1
Date: 1/13/2011 6:09:14 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
137137
Okay, I had a PG play 48 minutes in my scrimmage today, but I have no clue how the Points per 100 Shots is calculated based on this box score line (its seems too low):

PG M. Siazzu 48 14 - 20 FG 6 - 8 3FG 1 - 2 FT 0 OR 3 TR 7 AST 0 TO 2 STL 3 BLK 2 PF 35 PTS +91 RAT 10.0

From my guess, his points/100 shots should be 100 * 34 (total points from the field) / 20 (shots from the field) = 170.0

Or is you consider the FT attempts as one possession and therefore one shot:

His points/100 shots should be 100 * 35 (total points) / 21 (total) = 166.7

He didn't have any turnovers, so no lost possession there. So why does the box score report: 113.1 PG Points per 100 Shots ??



This Post:
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170405.2 in reply to 170405.1
Date: 1/13/2011 7:03:26 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
204204
I think the matchup ratings show the actual estimated value of making a shot over the course of the entire game. The issue here is sample size. Your PG simply had a good day and made significantly more of his shots than predicted.

This Post:
00
170405.3 in reply to 170405.1
Date: 1/13/2011 7:20:17 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
3737
Points per 100 shots is the following formula

100*(points/shots)=points per 100 shots


I think the formula is a prediction not a stat.

This Post:
00
170405.4 in reply to 170405.3
Date: 1/13/2011 9:11:22 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
459459
I have a different idea of how it works. I believe that points per 100 shots is calculated by multiplying a player's shooting percentage for the game by 200 (100 to make it a whole number and 2 because you get 2 points per bucket.) I don't think it takes into account either free throws or 3 pointers.
In this case the player went 14-20, which is .700, meaning his points per 100 shots for the game was 140. What the difference means is that your guy had a great day from the field.

That's the way I've been figgerin' since season 3, and it seems to be fairly reliable, with a +/- for FT's and 3's.

Once I scored a basket that still makes me laugh.
This Post:
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170405.5 in reply to 170405.4
Date: 1/14/2011 1:12:47 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
137137
So what accounts for the difference between 140.0 and 113.1 Points per 100 Shots, in this case? That's a pretty big difference.

This Post:
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170405.6 in reply to 170405.5
Date: 1/14/2011 1:40:41 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
3333
I remember being told by GM-Kozlodoev that the Points per 100 shots is an estimation of how many points your player should score given their matchup over the course of the 48 minutes. Its not a measure of how many points your player actually scored. If thats correct then your guy just had a good shooting night.

This Post:
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170405.7 in reply to 170405.5
Date: 1/14/2011 5:27:15 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
459459
I'm not sure, except Hadron said. Also,your opponent was much worse than you. I don't know if my idea of how it works is correct or not. It's just how I have always interpreted it.

Once I scored a basket that still makes me laugh.
This Post:
00
170405.8 in reply to 170405.5
Date: 1/14/2011 6:43:34 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
that means the 140 guy dominated his matchup, or got just very easy baskets. 113 is still very good.

This Post:
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170405.9 in reply to 170405.8
Date: 1/14/2011 12:49:07 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
137137
Yeah...I get that. I'm just trying to figure if its calculated from actually game statistics (apparently not) or is an estimate based on player skils, game shape, tactics etc.

This Post:
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170405.10 in reply to 170405.9
Date: 1/14/2011 12:55:23 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
not from game statistik, because then they are far off.

Your formula seems to be to complicated for me, because it always had to include the teammates etc. So i think its the prohability of the shots taken.