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Accuracy of initial draft ratings

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188890.1
Date: 7/5/2011 7:35:46 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
4646
Is it completely random or is it very slightly accurate depending on how good the prospect really is?

This Post:
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188890.4 in reply to 188890.3
Date: 7/5/2011 11:48:37 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
455455
LOL nah. I'd say it's about 70% accurate and 30% random.



There's absolutely no way that the pre-draft order of the 48 players given is 70% accurate.

IMO, the order is 100% random. The previous posters 5-95 could be correct too.

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188890.6 in reply to 188890.5
Date: 7/5/2011 11:58:56 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
8989
Well, by its very nature it should be about 20% accurate just due to random number generation (20% chance to randomly choose the right ball for that given player). That's assuming the algorithm that creates the rankings doesn't go out of its way to *not* make it accurate.

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188890.7 in reply to 188890.6
Date: 7/6/2011 11:56:47 AM
Headless Thompson Gunners
Naismith
Overall Posts Rated:
719719
Second Team:
Canada Purple Haze BC
Seriously folks
if something is 20-30% accurate
it is 100%
since you cannot rely on it at all

Last edited by Headless T Gunner at 7/6/2011 11:57:03 AM

This Post:
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188890.8 in reply to 188890.7
Date: 7/6/2011 5:55:15 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1010
I dont mind it being random but I just think when you do the combine and you have a guy that is 5 grey balls and you then use a scouting point to scout him and he is a 1 ball that is just stupid, and that is really my only gripe with this game. There shouldnt be that much difference, I can understand 5 down to 3 but not 5 down to 1.

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188890.9 in reply to 188890.8
Date: 7/6/2011 6:02:40 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
32293229
I dont mind it being random but I just think when you do the combine and you have a guy that is 5 grey balls and you then use a scouting point to scout him and he is a 1 ball that is just stupid, and that is really my only gripe with this game. There shouldnt be that much difference, I can understand 5 down to 3 but not 5 down to 1.


If the Timberwolves can draft a 26 year old thinking he's 21, a little bit of wackiness in the unscouted pool is more than acceptable. ;) These are guys that none of your scouts have seen play, so they're working with second hand knowledge at best.

This Post:
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188890.10 in reply to 188890.8
Date: 7/6/2011 6:14:46 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
455455
Think about it a different way. You're the one scouting those 48 players, nobody else. And you're the one choosing how much to spend on scouting and how to spend it.

So the initial order doesn't mean anything, it's 48 names written on a page. Also, why would you want managers that don't spend a dime on scouting to have a rough idea of who the best players are? That works against those managers that took the time and spent the money on scouting.