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[NT] Season 19/ Seizoen 19/ Saison 19

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This Post:
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211110.4 in reply to 211110.3
Date: 3/2/2012 7:16:27 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
471471
hi all.

sorry for being a bitt later, but i had some serious health issues that prevented me from being online alot. Altho they aren't resolved for 100%, i should be good enough to resume my 'normal' life, but with a few things of which i'll have to pay extra attention to.

Anyhow, enough about me. This topic is to discuss the NT results. First off, i'm happy we're 2-0 at this point. Norway is much stronger than they seem and could cause upsets ammongst other great candidates for the 2nd spot. It was a tricky game, but we avoided the trap and picked up a good win. However, i'm pretty dissapointed with Cyprus. They seem to be CTing both games ( against us, and their second game against Romania) and thus, their enthousiasme will keep decreasing, meaning that the later a team plays them, the more point difference they'll end up getting from them. Altho i'm happy we managed to win that game, it does mean that we'll be at a disadvantage for the goal average against the other nations. which means things are pretty simple. If we are to have any hopes to end up second, we'll have to beat everyone except Italy. Failing that and our chances for the second spot will be close to none ( unless Romania and Norway could somehow cause alot of upsets to our opponents, but i don't see Finland losing against them. Finland is just to strong for that...)

In our next game, we are facing the Netherlands, who, allong with the French, are always considered to be rivals of the Belgians ( for the simple fact that Belgium shares a common language with both those nations). Altho we managed to win our first 2 games, the hard part starts now. The Netherlands have won against Suomi, and face Romania after us. Yet they are in a great position since they've beaten Suomi and will have the thoughest part of their schedule behind them after their game against us. If they win it, they could very well end up getting the second spot with a 6-1 record. They've got a great team, and to boot, they've got a coach who seems to be using their strengths just like GM-Arjsitekt used to do when he was their NT coach ( under GM-Arsjitekt, the Netherlands were a top 25 BB NT team for several seasons) Altho we managed to beat the netherlands in the past seasons ( 1 offficial match, and 2 out of 4 scrimmages) those data have pretty irrelevant now.

They managed to beat the Finnish team in the rebounding and have had managed to draw an insane ammount of fauls on the finnish players to cause an upset by beating them. They also shot close to 60% from the field, which is an insane high percentage. They've got quite strong guards, but have an insane strong frontcourt with players that have the potential to create alot of bad match ups.

As for the result: If netherlands win, then they will have a very high chance of locking up that second spot in our pool behind italy and things could be over before they got started...

If belgium were to win, then the hunt for that second spot is wide open once again ( since that would mean that 3 teams could finish 5-2, which still would favor the netherlands and finland, since they will play a cyprus with very low enthousiasme) and then the games against Norway and Romania aswell as goal average will be very important.

If i would have to predict our chances for a win, i'd say Belgium has a 35-40% chance of winning against the Netherlands. With a couple of key players not being in good shape, i'm going to have to change the tactic that i had in mind for the Netherlands. I'll probably go with the best defensif team possible, hoping that we can get more stops than they can to get the win. One thing is sure: This game will boil come down to who does a better job on the defense. Let us pray that it will be us.

Revo

This Post:
00
211110.5 in reply to 211110.4
Date: 3/5/2012 6:03:49 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
471471
Cyprus 85 - 127 Italia
No surprise here. Italy wins which was pretty logical. Maybe the tactical choices of both teams are a bitt of a surprize ( Italy who clearly has the better team, plays a slow pace tactic, where as Cyprus plays a high paced tactic while clearly having the weaker team...) but other than that, Italy got away with a logical win. they dominated each quarter and ended with a nice difference which will without a doubt lock up that first place for sure ( just in case some miracle would happen and they'd be beat by another team...)

Nederland 102- 108 Belgium
if you take gameshape into considerations, then we were wearly had a better shot their. Futhermore, the Netherlands had caled up 18 players, so no chance to bring in a new guy with good GS to help lift their team when needed. However, i wasn't able to set up ( or call up) the players that i wanted to use for this game, due to the fact that the internet went down at uni. This meant that we would use a tactic that i had set up a week in advance, just incase i couldn't log in for some reason... Theirfor, we certainly didn't play with our best team against them, and were pretty fortunate to pull out a win, after trailing by as much as 14 in the 3rd Q. In the end, we got some lucky breaks with some favorable match up for a few 3 balls which gave Belgium a nice comeback from behind. However, i have to be 100% honnest about this: we got lucky here. Having 4 players with respectable gameshape and seeing them being inserted into positions that were very poor match ups for those players at pretty crucial times, i can tell you this: we were very fortunate to get the win here. However, it is what it is, and sometimes, you need to be lucky ( others will say that if you work hard enough, you'll end up getting luck on your side, but you can't say that in this case). This also means that fight for the second spot is wide open. We still play finland ( Suomi) and Italy, 2 very strong nations, games that we could end up losing without a doubt, meaning that Suomi, the Netherlands and us would all end up with a 5-2 record ( except if Suomi could beat Italy in a CT vs TIE in their last game...) So alot comes down to gameshape and avoiding injuries, but it sure will be very interesting to see how this unfolds. And don't forget that Romania or Norway could also play a decisif role in this by CTing one of those opponents... But for now, it seems that the Belgian NT is playing with a chip on it's shoulder. A good win against Norway and Netherlands has put us in a pretty nice spot with a decent shot at advancing to the next round, but as i've said earlier, nothing is certain. Finland, the netherlands and maybe even romania could very well end up taking that second spot in our pool. So we'll keep taking it one game at a time, and go from their. That will ensure us that we won't overlook anything which would cause us to underestimate our opponent.


Azərbaycan 83 - 98 Suomi
Finland is having a rough time lately and seem a bitt shaken after their loss against the Netherlands. Azerbejan lead the Finnish team for 39 minutes and their biggest lead was 14 points, but in the 4th quarter, the finnish team shifted gears offensifly, aswell as improving on their defense. Azerbejan could very clearly not keep up with their skills and pace once they turned it up, and lost the 4th quarter by 20 points, thus surrendering their lead and the game to the Finnish team. Altho the Finnish team doesn't look very strong after this last game, you shoudln't underestimate them. They've got alot of talent on that team, one heck of an inside attack and have proven several times that they always come up big when things matter the most. Or maybe, Azerbejan is alot stronger than everyone though they were...


This Post:
11
211110.6 in reply to 211110.5
Date: 3/5/2012 6:06:37 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
471471

Norge 125 - 109 România
Norway put in more effort in this game, and considering that they are playing Italy, then cyprus and then Azerbejan, they might have gone with a CT and then rebuild their enthousiasme, hoping to end with a 4-3 record. Anyhow, this loss is a very annoying one for Romania, who have to face the 4 remaining strongest teams ( other than themselves) and will have to pull off some crazy stuff if they have any hopes of quallifying. However, the Belgian NT of all people should know that they are capable of beating everyone except maybe Italy, if the conditions are favorable for them. Romania holds without any doubt the key as to who will advance to the next round...

Next monday, we got the following 4 games:

Italy - Norway
Romania - the Netherlands
Belgium - Azerbejan
Cyprus - Suomi ( finland)

provided that norway, Azerbejan and Cyprus don't cause a major upset, 3 results should be expected. However, the game between the netherlands and Romania could go either way, so it should be interesting to see how things will play out their...

Revo

This Post:
00
211110.8 in reply to 211110.7
Date: 3/6/2012 3:52:42 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
471471
i wouldn't count the Dutch out. They got a 'nasty' habit of sticking around.

Last edited by AthrunZala at 3/12/2012 1:05:07 PM

This Post:
00
211110.9 in reply to 211110.8
Date: 3/12/2012 1:27:17 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
471471
Belgium 132 - 87 Cyprus

Big game from our NT, especially in the offensif compartement(the entire season our Offense has been very hot!) Where as a few seasons ago ( 4 to be exact) defense had won us a way to the european championship, now, it's our offense that is winning the games for us. With Finland only beating Cyprus by 46 points (we did 45 points against Azerbejan) then that means that Belgium will head into the possibly decisif game against Suomi with 12 points advantage and a one game lead ( which we'll hope to be able to increase to 2 with a bitt of luck). Kamiel De Keersmaecker mad his debut in our NT and what a debut it was!

Finalnd 123 - 77 Cyprus
No surprize here. We all knew Cyprus was out of enthousiasme after wasting it in the beginning of the season ( which would have given us a much great lead in point difference if they had played TIE against us like a normal team would have done if they were in their situation). So the question wasn't: is Finland going to win, but it was: By how much is Finaldn going to win... they won nby +46 points, which was one more than we did against Azerbejan. All in all, good news for us. Altho Finland still has the better roster and still is favorite to get the second spot...

Romania 119-107 Netherlands

i wouldn't count the Dutch out. They got a 'nasty' habit of sticking around.


Well, i think it's fair to say that you can count the dutch out now. No matter how things go from here on out, their isn't a possibility where all teams would end up with a 4-3 record, so the Dutch are out of contension. 2 seasons ago, it was Macedonia who beat them, and now it's Romania, who hereby take revenge for the loss 2 seasons ago ( the season in which they ended up above the netherlands) Netherlands really are unlucky tho in this campaign... (and we've been pretty fortunate till now)

Italy - 134 - 98 Norway
Once again, Italy beats down yet another opponent... They mlade soem insane ratings in outside attack, and i'm wondering if anyone can match their strength other than the French, the Polish and maybe the Spanish...

From: Coach Q
This Post:
00
211110.10 in reply to 211110.9
Date: 3/14/2012 12:12:40 PM
Basket Mizu Arlon
II.3
Overall Posts Rated:
5757
hi guys,

thank you for your hard work with this national squad. sorry about deseure GS, i did not have much time to put up with buzzerbeater these past 2 weeks. but i'll do my best to get hm back to shape. NT next 3 games are crucial, especially next week, and i hope we'll go through ;)

This Post:
00
211110.11 in reply to 211110.10
Date: 3/15/2012 7:47:38 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
471471
i was starting to wonder what was going on with Deseure... From the guy being in GS9 for the entire season ( except for 3 weeks) he's been in a 'horrible' shape this season so far ;)

btw guy's, Dorchain 94 minutes, and De Keersmaecker 106 minutes, sorry guy's, but that isn't acceptable. If you got NT players on your roster, you got to limit their minutes to something below 80. De Keersmacker had made the NT for being in great shape the previous weeks. First thing that happens when he finally makes the team ==> he goes for 106 mintues a week. I hope it won't happen often, but this is really painfully!

Good news tho is that Dorchain, despite his age, is still being trained and is still improving :D

But then again, let's await the GS update and see how things go. We'll need a good GS if we have any hopes of beating Finland!