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Is Injury Random?

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214299.1
Date: 4/11/2012 1:29:34 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
2424
I had my best and (highest paid) injured 3 games in a row! all in the 1st few minutes!
omg
what are the chances!

This Post:
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214299.2 in reply to 214299.1
Date: 4/11/2012 2:50:10 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
774774
I'd say quite high.
My highest 2 players have went down 2 weeks in a row, too.
4 minutes into the game last one.

If you remember me, then I don't care if everyone else forgets.
This Post:
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214299.3 in reply to 214299.2
Date: 4/11/2012 3:42:48 AM
High Point Heroes
NBBA
Overall Posts Rated:
4141
I've also had a player get hurt 2 games in a row while in the first 7 min. of each game.

It seems odd, but injuries seem to occur much more frequently this season than they have in the previous 5 seasons. I know I have had far more injuries to my players this season, than I have ever had in my brief 5 year managerial career. It also seems this way with several teams in my league, most notably several star players going down in successive games. I wonder if anyone else has noticed the same trend in injuries?

This Post:
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214299.4 in reply to 214299.1
Date: 4/11/2012 10:28:43 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
431431
They are random

This Post:
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214299.5 in reply to 214299.1
Date: 4/11/2012 10:52:59 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
32293229
I had my best and (highest paid) injured 3 games in a row! all in the 1st few minutes!
omg
what are the chances!


That is simply impossible. Sadly, reality is frequently wildly inaccurate.

This Post:
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214299.6 in reply to 214299.1
Date: 4/12/2012 3:02:00 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
3333
It's just something you'll have to put up with for the rest of your managing career while you still have your team named after the second most injury prone NBA team. The first being the Portland Trailblazers. Both debatable though.

From: yodabig

This Post:
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214299.7 in reply to 214299.4
Date: 4/12/2012 6:14:55 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
14651465
They are random, but not entirely random. Every player has a hidden "physicallity"attribute. Players that are low in this cause more fouls offensivly and defensivly. This includes your opponents players. So if you have an aggressive player he will foul more. If he is against an aggressive player he will also foul more. Ever seen players that constantly foul out in 20 minutes? This is partially why (bad defence also causes it).

These aggressive players foul more and are fouled more. Lucky fans are the worst. Have a look live at a walkover game some day and see how many fouls there are on both sides.

All injuries happen on fouls, therefore foul prone cause more injuries and get injured more. I think almost everyone accepts this. What I additionally believe is that the game, having determined that there will be an injury, makes the severity also be affected by the players aggression making it more likely to be a severe injury not just an in game injury.

Here is an example with totally made up numbers:
Reverse aggression stat so atrocious = 10, pitiful = 9 etc...
: Let chance of foul event on play =
: Sum 2% + aggression
: If foul then chance injury =
: Sum 2% + aggression
: If injury then injury severity =
: INJ SEV TABLE RND 1-30 + Aggression - doctor level x 2
: INJ SEV TABLE
1-10 = In game injury 1 qtr
11-20 = In game injury whole game
etc


So can you see that the whole thing is random but if I am correct it explains why certain aggressive players get injured a LOT more than other players.

Last edited by yodabig at 4/12/2012 6:16:50 PM