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Playoff Final 2nd match

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27223.1
Date: 5/1/2008 8:09:03 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
203203
I won the firs match...
Now I need one more win to become champion...

I am in a doubt... Hope U will offer me an answer.

Cause I'm in advantage, do U think it is reasonable to set the Attitude at Take it easy on my second match? I will probably lose this game but it will boost my Enthusiasm at higher level (currently at 5) and with Crunch time at the third match I will be favour to win the series... Is this reasonable case?

Should I do the above mentioned or just try to win the second match (Crunch time)?

This Post:
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27223.2 in reply to 27223.1
Date: 5/1/2008 8:26:03 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
9696
it depends on your opponent's enthousiasm and players...

examples: say your opponent had enthousiasm 7, and you had 5, but you played home. Your opponent decided to TIE his first because he anticipated to loose anyway, you played normal. Now his enthousiasm will be 8 next game, and he plays home, so decides to TIE again to get an enthousiasm of 10 on sunday.

If you now TIE, you loose and will have enthousiasm 7 on sunday, wich probably makes you loose against the other team with enthousiasm 10, unless your team is better.

If you now CT, you might win, because he TIEs, but if you loose, you will get no chance of winning on sunday.

Your opponent however might decide to CT, because he desperatly needs to win the second game. Or he might play normal, because he doesn't have the balls to TIE.

There is a lot of gambling to do by both teams, and because we can't predict what your opponent will do, we can't help you. Somethimes winning the second game as well is the only way to get the title, somethimes trying to win it might kill you altogether... You'll have to decide, and hope your opponent does what you expect.
Sorry there is no help for this.

They are not your friends; they dispise you. I am the only one you can count on. Trust me.
This Post:
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27223.3 in reply to 27223.2
Date: 5/1/2008 8:31:51 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
If you now TIE, you loose and will have enthousiasm 7 on sunday, wich probably makes you loose against the other team with enthousiasm 10, unless your team is better.


With homecourt i would bet on the home team with enthusiam 7 with similiar teams.

And his opponentn, play like him at the first game:

Both teams played at the same effort level.

So i would play normal and then CT - i won't expect such a big boost from enthusiams that he should waste his chanches from the away game totaly.

This Post:
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27223.4 in reply to 27223.3
Date: 5/1/2008 8:55:33 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
9696
hm. The boost will be big, it will be 2 levels, and that is quite a bit...

He now plays away, so even when playing normal, he could loose if his opponent plays TIE. This gives his opponent a plus for the final game.

I would not play normal in this second game, I'd gamble on either playing CT to get it finished, but it is quite risky if his opponent also decides to CT. Or I would play TIE.
And I'd go for the last.

He has game 1, so he can loose this game. He won at home, so if he now TIEs, he will have higher enthousiasm for his final game, which is at home again. If he then CTs, he should win no matter what his opponent plays now...

They are not your friends; they dispise you. I am the only one you can count on. Trust me.
This Post:
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27223.5 in reply to 27223.4
Date: 5/1/2008 9:06:38 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
hm. The boost will be big, it will be 2 levels, and that is quite a bit...

r
eal low 2 levels, because if he got enthusiams 5 he got a high six or low seven. And that ain't so much, maybe 5-10% higher chanches to win his home Game(i think more the 5%).

But to play the TIE away, your chanches drop more then 10% to win the game, and if you ain't lokking for the last game i would take the higher chanche to promote because promotion gives you a lot of money(even if he promotes anyway because of the bot cleanup, the league champion gets a fine boost of his season ticket holders).

This Post:
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27223.6 in reply to 27223.1
Date: 5/1/2008 9:58:36 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
1919
Without any doubt, you should tie the next game and crunch the tiebreaker game. By sacrificing game 2, you will get more revenue and more training than if you crunched and won game 2. Besides, your chances are much higher to win game 3 than game 2 since you will have home court in game 3 (if you crunch and lose game 2, then it would be very unlikely for you to win game 3).

This Post:
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27223.7 in reply to 27223.6
Date: 5/1/2008 10:09:10 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
2222
what about if we both have motivation of 5 and the 2nd game's at home.. go for CT and finish it or TIE, maybe loose and going CT at his place in third match?

This Post:
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27223.8 in reply to 27223.7
Date: 5/1/2008 12:30:56 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1919
in that case, your best odds are to crunch in game 2. in all likelihood, your opponent will crunch as well in game 2, but with home-court advantage, all else equal, your team should win.

if you are a risk taker, you could tie under the assumtion that your opponent will crunch in game 2, giving you a win in the third game (and the extra revenue and training). however, your opponent may go against the obvious choice of crunching in game 2 - so it is not recommended.

From: SimonL

This Post:
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27223.9 in reply to 27223.1
Date: 5/2/2008 1:30:29 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
i would just try to win it.

This Post:
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27223.10 in reply to 27223.9
Date: 5/3/2008 9:07:53 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
What would you do if enthusiasm was +-equal and you played the 2nd game away? I think the best way is to TIE it ( I have slightly bettter team, the opponent TIED the first game but CRUNCHED the semifinals, i played both - semifinals+1st finals - normal and won the first final game.) because the opponent certainly will have worse enthusiasm in the 3rd game (he won't have the balls to TIE and if he had, he would lose.) + I'll enjoy the homecourt advantage.

This Post:
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27223.11 in reply to 27223.10
Date: 5/3/2008 11:37:47 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
9696
chances are high he will TIE at home in order to gain as much enthousiasm as possible for the final game.
He knows he will have a chance to loose, but if he doesn't, he is almost certain to loose game 3, so he will have to gamble that he will win with TIE to be able to get any chance in the third game (this is exactly what I did last year too btw).
So maybe your only chance is to CT this game...
Choice is up to you, but I'd TIE if I where him...

EDIT: besides, if you play CT, and he does not, you probably win now. So in order for him to have any chance, he need to CT too. This means you both will have about the same enthousiasm for the final game, and you have houme court... so even if you CT and loose now, you still have decent chance tomorrow!
I'd definatly CT tonight...

Last edited by Lord of Doom at 5/3/2008 11:39:45 AM

They are not your friends; they dispise you. I am the only one you can count on. Trust me.