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Season 66

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From: TonyC
This Post:
33
325205.1
Date: 9/18/2024 9:24:08 PM
Mill City Thunder
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
3636
Second Team:
The Jarvihans
Welcome to the league new teams! Looks like we have 4 D3 champs (Fighting Kelts, In Your Face, Stark Contrast & HumanFund), 1 auto-promotion (Maine Lobstahs), and 1 NBBA demottee (Hayward Lumberjacks)

We've got a lot more > $500K salary teams right now compared to last season, mostly concentrated in the Great 8 (once Nick sells off his players). I'll be interested to see where things stand once the offseason is over and everyone finishes their TL purchases/sales. I'll try and do a preseason preview if I have time before the first games on Saturday

From: Dextah

This Post:
00
325205.2 in reply to 325205.1
Date: 9/19/2024 11:45:50 AM
Maine Lobstahs
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
88
Second Team:
Fishtown Pioneers
I really, really hoped to not auto-promote. My young guys aren't ready but I'm committed to training them. So... here come the whuppins.

From: JPeterman

This Post:
00
325205.3 in reply to 325205.1
Date: 9/19/2024 9:51:16 PM
HumanFund
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
7171
Second Team:
Goblin Juice
Thanks Mill City...looked up to your team for a long time. All the seasons start to go together so I cant remember if I've been in D2 before or not but I think if I did it didn't go well.

I wonder if your observation on salaries is more of an overall trend of salaries rising in all leagues or it's specific to ours. Would be an interesting study...especially compared to something like the last 5 seasons.

Good luck to all this year. If you're gonna forget to set your lineup at anytime please consider doing it against Humanfund.

J Peterman

From: chihorn
This Post:
00
325205.4 in reply to 325205.3
Date: 9/20/2024 11:12:48 AM
New York Chunks
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
943943
@Nick22 Did the Alaska team accountant have a heart attack after last season's payroll?

Don't ask what sort of Chunks they are, you probably don't want to know. Blowing Chunks since Season 4!
From: Nick22

This Post:
00
325205.5 in reply to 325205.4
Date: 9/20/2024 2:57:42 PM
Alaska Alphas
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
6060
Second Team:
Oregon Omegas
Yes he did. Shame, he'd been with the club since the start. The new guy is being very strict and says we need to "save money" for "the future," whatever that means. We're getting a nice influx of cash to open this season though, which is gonna make it hard to take my time. I get one more game with the 3 kids that got me here though so I'm sorry to whoever I'm matched up with game one.

Keeping Connor for another season to try and Patient my way to a few cup wins, and I'll be picking up some cheap guys to fill out the lineup at salary floor, along with a few bigs to train and flip on my way back down. Other than that, we're all eyes on Season 74.

Join the BB USA Discord! https://discord.gg/kApjNTK
From: chihorn

This Post:
00
325205.6 in reply to 325205.5
Date: 9/20/2024 3:19:20 PM
New York Chunks
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
943943
Well you did have a great run last season, really all in. I'm too chicken to take that approach!

Don't ask what sort of Chunks they are, you probably don't want to know. Blowing Chunks since Season 4!
From: Nick22

This Post:
00
325205.7 in reply to 325205.6
Date: 9/20/2024 3:32:44 PM
Alaska Alphas
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
6060
Second Team:
Oregon Omegas
I had enough savings that I knew I could sustain it for the full season, and I still had like 500k left in the end. (Plus with all those home-trained guys and an all-American roster I was getting about 140k/week in merch). It would've been impossible to pay those guys for another season though without truly bleeding myself dry. In hindsight, the season before was the one to promote, but I knew there was no way I could outspend Rhino's Rage and then I got bounced in the playoffs anyway.

Join the BB USA Discord! https://discord.gg/kApjNTK
From: chihorn

This Post:
00
325205.8 in reply to 325205.7
Date: 9/20/2024 4:12:39 PM
New York Chunks
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
943943
... but I knew there was no way I could outspend Rhino's Rage and then I got bounced in the playoffs anyway.

Yeah, that's how the rest of us felt last season against your payroll!

Don't ask what sort of Chunks they are, you probably don't want to know. Blowing Chunks since Season 4!
From: Xtc

This Post:
00
325205.9 in reply to 325205.1
Date: 9/20/2024 6:27:29 PM
In your face
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
122122
Hey, good luck everyone
A bunch of old friend teams here

From: TonyC
This Post:
44
325205.10 in reply to 325205.9
Date: 9/21/2024 10:18:12 AM
Mill City Thunder
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
3636
Second Team:
The Jarvihans
Season 66 Preview!

Before jumping into team tiers, a few facts about the league / teams
- We are welcoming the longest tenured manager in the USA to our league (In Your Face). They have been playing since season 2 and join a league with a lot of old heads; NY Chunks (season 4), 10 Inch Vert (season 7), and BU Terriers (season 19). Apologies if I missed any other buzzerbeater OGs
- The league only has 2 teams with unfinished arenas, so almost everyone is on an even financial playing field. The 2 teams are White Mambas who would need to spend about $1.5M to complete their arena and Maine Lobstahs, who need another 1.5-2.5K lower tier seats. The small arena did not stop Mambas from making the playoffs last season though...

Now on to my personal predictions. Ive done a tier rankings and placed all teams into 1 of 5 tiers; Contenders, Playoff Teams, Playoff Bubble, Likely to Demote, and Tanking. I based these on everyone's current teams (minus listed players who will definitely sell) using a mixture of salary, DMI and TL prices to estimate team quality. I will definitely be wrong about a lot of teams so don't take offense if I rank you low!

High-level thoughts, the Big 8 is stacked. There will be very few easy games and most nights will truly have a "any team can win on any given night" vibe.

Contenders: Mill City Thunder, HumanFund, Stark Contrast, and BU Terriers

We've got a lot of really good teams running > $550K salaries. All of these teams have dropped some serious dough on high-quality players on the TL and have killer starting 5s. It's shaping up to be a real bloodbath in the Great 8 to get home court advantage for the playoffs. BU might coast to the 1 seed in the Big 8 if they keep their current team all season, but they have the highest salary and it might not be sustainable. Their 2 NT players may reduce their deficit though with their extra merch. HumanFund runs an all-American team so also makes his salary a bit more sustainable.

I have mixed feelings about having to play against my old trainee, Dallas Abernathy, when matching up against HumanFund. Glad he is in good hands at least!

Playoff Teams: LA Lions, EDH Wolves, NY Chunks, and 10 Inch Vertical

Yes, I am aware that I have ranked 5 teams in the Great 8 as playoff-caliber and only 3 from the Big 8. While this isn't possible, that is how I view the quality of these teams and their respective conferences. LA Lions has an argument for being in the Contender tier but I had to draw the line somewhere. They have better depth than some of contenders but not quite as strong of a starting 5, and I think that could be the difference. NY Chunks runs back a very strong 2-seed from last season while EDH and 10 Inch both finished the season strong and should keep that momentum going.

Playoff Bubble: Kirkwood Hawks, White Mambas, Fighting Kelts, and Puff Puff Pass

These teams could break into the playoffs if they add a strong player or pull off some key wins. But I think they are likely headed to a relegation series that they should probably win.

Likely to Demote: Maine Lobstahs, In Your Face, and Hayward Lumberjacks

These 3 teams are rocking much lower salaries and DMI than the rest of the league and are the early favorites to be demoted. Lots can change between now and the end of the season, so I'm sure I will be eating crow about at least 1 of them. If I had to guess, In Your Face has the best chance of staying up as they have not yet dipped into their promotion bonus and likely have some funds to play around with on the TL.

Tanking: Alaska Alphas

RIP to Nick, he made an honest push for NBBA and unfortunately came up short the last 2 seasons. Good luck with the rebuild and we hope to see you back up here soon.

Good luck to all teams, should be a fun season!

From: bmore

This Post:
00
325205.11 in reply to 325205.10
Date: 9/22/2024 9:12:01 AM
BU Terriers
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
2626
Second Team:
Hopkins Blue Jays
Selling off your homegrown starters is tough! It seems like there is no way to win this league (probably any Div II) without some trainees playing above their salary and some over extension covered by NT or all-USA merch bonus to cover a bit of that. It means if you swing and miss you have to rebuild. The fact that Nick had a real shot two seasons in a row is impressive. Good luck with the rebuild!