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Yet an other match analysis thread

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7556.1
Date: 11/18/2007 11:47:27 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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If you could help me understand the result of this one that would be helpful thanks ^^

MatchID=113899, my team is on the left ( http://www.buzzerbeater.org/BBWeb/boxscore.aspx?MatchID=1138991 )

I have the impression that my overall team ratings are way better than his : +1 in rebounding, +1 in offensive flow +1 in outside scoring, +2/3 in Perimeter Defense, = in inside defense, -2/3 in inside scoring. The inside scoring difference w.r.t. my inside defense should be a bit compensated by my 2-3 zone. Here are some interesting details:

TO : 10 vs 10 with a +1 in Offensive Flow ?
TR : 50 vs 48 with a +1 in Rebounding ?
3FG 5-24 vs 5-17 : with a +1 in outside scoring and a +2/3 in outside defense (here you should explain my why he scores more often with these ratings :o)

Thank you in advance for your help :p


This Post:
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7556.2 in reply to 7556.1
Date: 11/18/2007 7:18:25 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
3535
Yep, hard to explain these team ratings...
I have the feeling the the team ratings only depend on your players skills (and the tactic used, of course). They seem, in fact, to be quite constant from game to game.
And then there is the random factor (also called 'luck')... and then all your players can play their worst game ever... and miss all possible shots. This is statistically shown with the Matchup ratings.
It's hard to accept to lose a game like this one though...

This Post:
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7556.3 in reply to 7556.2
Date: 11/18/2007 10:31:35 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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I was lucky in one of my previous match, I guess this random effect is an important aspect of this game that one has to deal with and that makes it perhaps less predictable than its old brother hattrick ^^.

This Post:
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7556.4 in reply to 7556.3
Date: 11/19/2007 12:40:18 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
3535
For the moment I like this game much more than HT, maybe just because I am winning :)
And the live game is so much fun!

The game engine seems to be really complex, taking into account lots of variables. This can also be a risk, in the sense that if too many thinks count, than it is difficult to have control over them. But so far, it does not look like that. I think that the tactics used in the game still overrun the luck factor by far.

Hope I won't change my mind any soon :)

This Post:
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7556.5 in reply to 7556.4
Date: 11/19/2007 1:12:34 AM
1986 Celtics
IV.30
Overall Posts Rated:
88
I'd also say that if you look at the matchup ratings you get a better sense of what must have happened. Its hard to give an average rating over all your players that tells the right story for every position.... for instance in calculating inside defense we are reporting basically a weighted average over your team.... now there is no gauruntee that your opponent is going to take inside shots with the same kind of weight.. this is why we developed the matchup ratings, which in this case clearly show that the winning team overmatched the losing team at most positions.