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Accuracy of initial draft ratings

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188890.10 in reply to 188890.8
Date: 7/6/2011 6:14:46 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
455455
Think about it a different way. You're the one scouting those 48 players, nobody else. And you're the one choosing how much to spend on scouting and how to spend it.

So the initial order doesn't mean anything, it's 48 names written on a page. Also, why would you want managers that don't spend a dime on scouting to have a rough idea of who the best players are? That works against those managers that took the time and spent the money on scouting.


This Post:
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188890.12 in reply to 188890.11
Date: 7/6/2011 9:43:38 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1919
Perhaps he would relax a bit more, softening his touch, and therefore be more efficient than usual. =)

This Post:
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188890.14 in reply to 188890.13
Date: 7/6/2011 11:49:24 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1919
Which almost lands him at his normal numbers sadly enough. =)

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188890.15 in reply to 188890.10
Date: 7/7/2011 1:55:21 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
14651465
Because it makes sense. Every random person in the world can just click on ESPN and see who are the top draft prospects. I think it would make a lot more sense if just the potential was totally random and unknown, but their basic skills right now, if the "word on the street" thinks the best player in the draft is actually a totally hopeless 1 ball loserthen it is worthless.

Last edited by yodabig at 7/7/2011 1:55:47 AM

This Post:
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188890.16 in reply to 188890.7
Date: 7/7/2011 5:59:07 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
Seriously folks
if something is 20-30% accurate
it is 100%
since you cannot rely on it at all


one question, if you had to choose a couvert with only knowing the chanches that there are money in it, in couvert a are with a 20% Chanche 100€ in couvert B there is a 10% Chanche of 100€. As a help for your decision you get a dice. Would you:

A. Take the couvert with 20% Chanche.
B, Take the couvert with 10% Chanche.
C. Since the chanches are so low, roll the dice and take a when it show a even number and B when it show an uneven number.

when you are not taking B or C, i think initial accuracy is important - because it affect the order of the unscouted player and also the order to scout player.

This Post:
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188890.17 in reply to 188890.15
Date: 7/7/2011 6:45:56 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
394394
Because it makes sense. Every random person in the world can just click on ESPN and see who are the top draft prospects. I think it would make a lot more sense if just the potential was totally random and unknown, but their basic skills right now, if the "word on the street" thinks the best player in the draft is actually a totally hopeless 1 ball loserthen it is worthless.

Kwame Brown, anyone?

This Post:
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188890.18 in reply to 188890.17
Date: 7/7/2011 9:22:33 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
14651465
Dude everyone can give 50 examples of draft busts but there are much larger numbers of guys that turned out just as they expected. I would argue that was their potential that was misjudged, not how good they were at the time.

When is the last time a LeBron, Dwight or Rose turned bust? The only recent example is Greg Oden and it isn't that he is a bad player, he has just been wrecked by injuries. The last really horrible high pick was Darko Milicic and even at the time everyone was puzzled.

This Post:
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188890.19 in reply to 188890.18
Date: 7/7/2011 9:31:26 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
394394
I was verifing your comments, not questioning. Sorry if there was confusion.

This Post:
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188890.20 in reply to 188890.15
Date: 7/7/2011 10:18:59 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
Because it makes sense. Every random person in the world can just click on ESPN and see who are the top draft prospects. I think it would make a lot more sense if just the potential was totally random and unknown, but their basic skills right now, if the "word on the street" thinks the best player in the draft is actually a totally hopeless 1 ball loserthen it is worthless.



the question is how accurate sources you know for div 2 NCAA basketball recruitment etc. Already the ranking for the top NCAA 1 talents ain't that good anymore. The attention to the NBA talents is higher because of the excellent standing of the NBA in wold, the question is it every buzzerbeater league like the NBA or maybe even none.

he other thing is that not only the media invest heavily in scouting also the NBA teams do, and surely didN't look on espn or draft express report who to pick,

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