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S19 Playoffs

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214377.10 in reply to 214377.1
Date: 4/27/2012 9:20:12 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
274274
One game to go! Lots of possiblities still, but here's my analysis.

Chase for the #1 Seed
Really only a half game lead here for Flash Mashers since Liberty will have the PD tie breaker and a much more winnable game than the Mashers. All the Mashers need to do is win one more, and they've got homecourt. Not a gimmie by any means @ Eclypze, but with the better team, and Eclypze guarunteed the 5 seed at worst, I expect the Mashers to win with relative ease and hang on to homecourt.

Big 8 Playoff Race
Still lots of scenarios here. Lake Charles has been eliminated from the race. Extra Crispy fell to teh #5 spot, but has a 25 point win coming Saturday. This assures him of finishing 11-11 with a +9 PD. So, if the Flash Mashers take down Eclypze, and the Traptors take down Natellio, Crispy will slide back into the #3 spot, and Natellio taking the 4 spot. However, a win from either Natellio or Eclypze will make it impossible for Extra Crispy to move up. I expect the #1 and #2 seeds to take care of business though, leaving Extra Crispy as #3, Natellio as #4 and Eclypze as #5.

2 Left Feet vs. EGE for #4
East Gary now owns a one game lead and the PD advantage. And with 2 Left Feet having to go Ron Swanson, not sure they can overcome it. #5 is not a bad place to be though.

Fighting Relegation
Door Mats almost made it to #5. It does look like, though, they will be able to hang on to the #6 spot (barring a massive Cresleys upset over Liberty) and have home court for the relegation series. Updog will not be an easy out though. That could be a 3 game bloodbath. Lake Charles is locked into the #6 spot on the other side, and will likely go up against the Cresleys. Could be another good series, but I expect Lake Charles to win that one it two games.

Good luck everyone!

This Post:
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214377.12 in reply to 214377.11
Date: 4/27/2012 10:11:06 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
274274
Yea the fan survey is the only reason I'm going after the playoffs. #5 seed is better financially, short term (which needs to get fixed by the way), but I haven't been able to sell out my arena all season. I'd love to add on to my arena, but if I can't sell it out right now, there isn't much reason too.

Next season will be interesting. This league has gotten MUCH stronger this season. There's probably 3 or 4 teams better than Schrodas was last year (he's fighting relegation this season by the way).

This Post:
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214377.13 in reply to 214377.10
Date: 4/27/2012 4:25:20 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
9191
However, a win from either Natellio or Eclypze will make it impossible for Extra Crispy to move up.

If either Natellio or Eclypse lose, Extra Crispy are in play offs.

This Post:
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214377.14 in reply to 214377.13
Date: 4/27/2012 8:53:23 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
926926
Gosh dang it Eclypze, I really can't lose this game, this acquisition puts you in a position of power seeing as I don't have HCA... If you CT me and I end up losing HCA in the playoffs it just means a better chance that you have me in your division again for next season.

This Post:
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214377.16 in reply to 214377.15
Date: 4/28/2012 10:49:12 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
926926
Well said, guess I'll have to bring it tonight.

From: J-Slo

This Post:
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214377.17 in reply to 214377.16
Date: 4/28/2012 3:03:14 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
8888
Teams that should probably consider the CT tonight:
-Natellio
-Eclypze
-East Gary
-2 Left Feet

That's half the games :)

This Post:
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214377.19 in reply to 214377.18
Date: 4/28/2012 4:41:09 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
926926
I don't know... you've put together quite a team. I'm not very familiar with the slant that a CT at home vs. a TIE on the road creates...

From: J-Slo

This Post:
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214377.20 in reply to 214377.19
Date: 4/28/2012 6:52:19 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
8888
A home court CT is reallly a big boost IMO. I would be surprised if Flashers won against that roster if we are talking HCA CT vs. road TIE..

I've been surprised before though, and Eclypze doesn't always play up to team salary because a lot of his big salary guys end up having odd skill builds because they are sometimes high salary/low bid day-trading investments as much as they are a good fit for his team overall. Which works for him overall building money and putting together good teams; it just makes it hard to evaluate any given team of his based on salaries alone.

I'd still be surprised if he really went after it and lost anyway though, especially if your team isn't going after this one too (and why would you at this point?)

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