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National Tournament Season 37

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From: Bergkamp

This Post:
00
284328.10 in reply to 284328.9
Date: 1/20/2017 8:48:32 AM
Arsenal 98
EBBL
Overall Posts Rated:
282282
Second Team:
Stamford Snow Leopards
Yep, it's almost like we bribed the organisers. Worse than FIFA us EBBL teams...

Seriously though, what are the odds the top 8 teams all avoid each other? Once upon a time I knew how to do this calculation, but a brief look online last night didn't sufficiently bring the knowledge back.

It's something like if A is drawn first (where A is a top 8 side), chance of drawing a non-top 8er is then 8/15, gotta multiply this by the next matchup doing the same (7/13) and so on...then I'm not sure if I'm multiplying by 8 or what?
If I am, then it's about a 16% chance? That seems high so someone tell me what I did wrong.

This Post:
00
284328.11 in reply to 284328.10
Date: 1/20/2017 9:01:13 AM
Durham Wasps
III.1
Overall Posts Rated:
16621662
Second Team:
Sunderland Boilermakers
Yeah the draw was unfortunate, especially for those hoping for a bit of excitement.

From: Erkboy

This Post:
00
284328.12 in reply to 284328.10
Date: 1/20/2017 5:17:35 PM
Bethnal Green Erks
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
7171
Second Team:
Mile End Erks
I think you were right up until the point that you multiplied by 8, so it's about a 2% chance.

From: LA-Vecx

This Post:
00
284328.13 in reply to 284328.9
Date: 1/20/2017 8:42:17 PM
Tide of Fire
EBBL
Overall Posts Rated:
352352
Very sad to see to be honest. I like to see underdogs get far, don't give up hope though, anything can happen in the cup.

This Post:
11
284328.15 in reply to 284328.11
Date: 1/24/2017 3:17:10 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
8585
Gauson have a really good outfit over there , hard to see past them winning the whole damn thing!

This Post:
11
284328.16 in reply to 284328.15
Date: 1/24/2017 4:16:31 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
99
Last 8 made up of EBBL+Ex-EBBL teams only, should be interesting!

This Post:
00
284328.17 in reply to 284328.16
Date: 1/26/2017 5:18:09 PM
Durham Wasps
III.1
Overall Posts Rated:
16621662
Second Team:
Sunderland Boilermakers
Doncaster; one previous semi. Arsenal and WTK in their first semi final. Tide of Fire; many previous semis.

This Post:
00
284328.18 in reply to 284328.17
Date: 1/26/2017 5:42:28 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
7272
Congratulations to the semi-finalists! ;) Good luck to all!

This Post:
00
284328.20 in reply to 284328.19
Date: 2/9/2017 4:41:55 PM
Tide of Fire
EBBL
Overall Posts Rated:
352352
Thanks, honestly this one came as a complete surprise, Doncaster is such a good team, I hope they go all the way next season. Carolina deserves a win.

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