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unrealistic Free Throw %

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From: Tangosz

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187744.106 in reply to 187744.104
Date: 7/6/2011 1:54:46 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
573573
Um, did you even read my message? The one that looks at the results that real basketball players put up, and shows that despite what we all assume, there isn't a relationship between the ability to hit field goals (or 3 pointers, though there's a bit better relationship) and the ability to hit free throws.

Now your point about the 22% FT shooters isn't a bad one, but it's easily overcome by the GM making a good choice. Train FT for a few weeks, and you won't see those type of mismatches. Or maybe people would prefer having an atrocious FT skill hold back their JS and JR training. Cause like Charles pointed out, not many people are arguing it that way.


This Post:
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187744.107 in reply to 187744.106
Date: 7/6/2011 2:04:49 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
406406
Um, did you even read my message? The one that looks at the results that real basketball players put up, and shows that despite what we all assume, there isn't a relationship between the ability to hit field goals (or 3 pointers, though there's a bit better relationship) and the ability to hit free throws.


So where are the <50% FT shooters that play guard in the NBA?

Last edited by hupfingatsch ihm sein Knecht at 7/6/2011 2:07:10 PM

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187744.108 in reply to 187744.107
Date: 7/6/2011 2:23:11 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
102102
So where are the <50% FT shooters that play guard in the NBA?


I know a lot of them. But I'll only tell you if you can find me an NBA player who never trained FTs. Deal?

From: Santos

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187744.109 in reply to 187744.106
Date: 7/6/2011 2:47:32 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
2525
No I didn't and here's why: I didn't want too.

There were too many letters and it was very, very long.

So there...

PS: I'm just kidding

Last edited by Santos at 7/6/2011 2:47:43 PM

This Post:
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187744.111 in reply to 187744.108
Date: 7/6/2011 3:06:37 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
406406
Easy one. Iverson.

From: chihorn
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187744.112 in reply to 187744.110
Date: 7/6/2011 3:10:34 PM
New York Chunks
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Overall Posts Rated:
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I’m thrilled to see some real data brought to the argument. A couple of comments on what I think I see as the methodology of the data analysis, though. First, don’t even try to correlate FT% with FG% since, as I note much higher up in this thread, players with high FG% tend to be big men who take most of their shots from close in and are often terrible FT% (Tim Duncan, Shaq, etc.), though not always (many non-American centers like Pau Gasol, Yao Ming). Finding a low correlation between FT% and 3PT% is very interesting, though. I would suggest that you filter the data with a minimum 3PT ATT if you haven’t already.

The other thing I want to point out is that anyone who thinks that training JS would have no impact on FT%... well, as somebody who’s spent way too much precious time with a basketball in my hands over the years, I think it’s just not true. Sure, practicing FT could mean the difference between a good FT shooter and an elite FT shooter, but the mechanics are so similar. Use the whole body, bend the knees, follow through, shoulders square, etc. In fact, when I go into shooting slumps, I very often work out of them by shooting tons of FT before going back to work on the J since I know that my worst habits are mechanical, and shooting FT is a very mechanical activity, at least it for me. The difference between training JS and FT is probably a lot smaller than the difference between HA and DR (each of which trains about 80% of the other in BB). If we can get a boost in RB when training ID, well… let’s be consistent here, FT and JS are too related not to be tied together with training.

But let’s let the real stats help us figure out how much they’re related. Maybe we can get some complex stats to break down. Maybe somebody can get FT% by shot distance so we can figure out who the jump shooters are without relying just on 3PT data since some players are great shooters in the mid-range but just drop off in accuracy beyond the 3PT line (like I suspect we’d find with players like Luol Deng, Kevin Durant and other forwards, and also big men who can shoot like Brad Miller), but the data might show that I’m wrong in some of my assumptions. Right now, I’m still of the opinion that FT and JS training should each impact each other. And I still stand my earlier thinking that there should be a very small FT advantage for shorter players.

Last edited by chihorn at 7/6/2011 3:11:58 PM

Don't ask what sort of Chunks they are, you probably don't want to know. Blowing Chunks since Season 4!
This Post:
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187744.113 in reply to 187744.111
Date: 7/6/2011 3:21:13 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
102102
Easy one. Iverson.


And you know this how?

This Post:
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187744.114 in reply to 187744.110
Date: 7/6/2011 3:25:59 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
406406
In a BB world the following would be true:
A marathon runner and a weight lifter would be both bad 100m sprinters because they never trained short distance sprints.

I think the following would be a more realistic event:
A marathon runner would beat a weight lifter on the 100m distance any day, no matter if he ever trained sprinting distances.


As the weight lifter would have well trained explosive leg muscles it may be a close race as the marathon runner wont have much use of his high stamina in a 100m race =)


True. A 150kg guy like Steiner would definitely run a close rate against Gebreselassie.

This Post:
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187744.116 in reply to 187744.106
Date: 7/6/2011 4:20:26 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
12001200
despite what we all assume, there isn't a relationship between the ability to hit field goals (or 3 pointers, though there's a bit better relationship) and the ability to hit free throws.

...and you say that because... ?

I'd like the "train-FT"-guys to read this.

EVERYBODY in the nba (or professional basketball) is training FT. Everybody. Yes, even Shaq and other big fellows. So... is Shaq a good FT shooter? No. Is Durant a good FT shooter? Yes.
Is this JUST BECAUSE Durant trained himself more than Shaq did? I don't think so. Would you answer "Yes"? So I guess that in NBA all big guys are NOT training FT (or slightly training FT) while SG are training FT the whole day.

Take, for example, Andrea Bargnani. He plays as PF/C and he's a very good FT shooter. Guess what? Because he's a good jump shooter and 3pt shooter.
I don't think Bargnani is THE ONLY PF/C in the NBA training FT (and succeeding in his training sessions). He just scores FT just because he's a good jump shooter. It's evident.

Now, you can tell me "this is just a game, and we want to keep a balance... so if you want FT, train FT". I'm ok with that. But say that.

Last edited by Biffo (*DT Member) at 7/6/2011 4:21:27 PM

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