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With 4 matches to go, things are starting to look interesting as teams start to prepare for playoffs, relegation matches or simply finishing 5th.

How it shaping out in the Big 8

WA and JW should seal 1st and 2nd
Branny has 8 wins with 222 PD, but with 2 bot teams to come, will seal a playoff birth.
Doncaster must win 1 more match to seal a playoff birth, but with 2 hungry teams (yarra and red star) to come plus JW and WA, could end up 4th, 5th or 6th
Yarra has 6 wins and a +15 PD. A bot team to come will boost that and will be a chance to finish 4th or 5th depending on Doncaster and Red Stars perforances. However, the also play Doncaster, JW and WA. Most likely outcome 6th.
Red Star is currently 7th, but just like Yarra and Branny has a chance to finish 4th, 5th or 6th. They have the easiest run out of the 3 teams. Next they have Doncaster which is a must win if they want to 4th, otherwise its 5th or 6th. Following Doncaster, they play both bots which could boost their PD from -57 to around 150. They then play Branny who at that stage, may take things easy to prepare for the playoffs.
Lewisness and CCC being the 2 BOT teams will end up 7th and 8th


Great 8

Southern Breakers play a bot in their last 4 which will give them the number 1 seed in their conf
GC play Gisborne, Meateors, GO and RED to finish off the season. They should get the minimum 2 wins to make sure the wont miss out on playoffs. However, I do believe they are good enough to get enough to finish 2nd which means a home playoff spot.
[bWhompas ]has a great chance to make the playoffs as they face a bot. They also play Meateors, Gisborne and Breakers. If they can beat The Meateors (another playoff contender, then this should see them seal a playoff birth.
go aussie play a bot in their next match which will seal 5th. However, they want to play in the playoffs, they may find it tough to hang on to 4th as theyalso face RED. GC and Meateors.
The Meateors I do expect to sneak into 4th at the expense of Go, but they will need to work hard as they face 3 top 4 teams plus Red who may be trying to beat Gisborne to 6th.
Gisborne and RED I do believe will be doing their best to finish 6th and get an easy RL match whilst the other must face either Yarra, Red Star, or Doncaster. Gisborne currently has 7 wins but a very poor PD of -318. This puts them only 1.5 game ahead of Red who has 5 wins and a PD of -113 which is 205 better than Gisborne.
With Gisborne playing the top 3 (Breakers, GC, and Whompas), it looks like a very tough run. However, they do play a BOT in their final match, so this may help them if thing go their way.
RED dont have things any easier. Despite the better PD, they do face the Breakers, followed by teams that are fighting for position in the 4. It all depends on how seriously GO, Meateors, and GC take their matches.
At this stage its too hard to predict which one of these thems will finish 6th or 7th.
Aussierulez is now a BOT and will finsh 8th

Last edited by pete at 2/4/2013 2:30:44 AM

nice analysis pete.

i think i will be able to get 6th, the bot win will give me a 2.5 game gap. which means RED has to win 3 out of 4 to get over me. should be a good finish though. i am intrigued on what late season purchases will take place.

very nice work. i personally have sold up so am not aiming to high. i know i cant drop lower than 5th.

save some money and maybe press next season.

Well written Pete,

Will be an interesting end to season as even though WA has the upper hand at the moment there is still time for teams to bolster, WA inclusive.

I don't think Bains will have a problem locking in 6th either, think he has a picked his games where necessary :)

Thank guys. Just trying to get a little chit chat going and people more enthused. Hopefully this forum lights up again.

ATM in the Great 8 5th does seem the most tempting imo. However, if GC wins their first PO match at home, they should still make a profit incl conf final and may cause an upset even though, the breakers are fav to go all the way. Breakers will be praying that one of their starting 5 dont get injured, otherwise its good night.

I also wouldn't be surprised if JW beats WA to make the final. WA will need to dip into his millions and buy one or two if he wants to go up. Hopefully Doncaster and Red star screw up just enough to see me sneak into 4th and with that I become the giant killer and move into the ABBL :)

Last edited by pete at 2/4/2013 10:54:58 PM

I don't think Bains will have a problem locking in 6th either, think he has a picked his games where necessary

awwww is that a compliment?

Bainsy 6th in div 2? What has this world come to...

Look for him to screw up in the relegation series. Hehehe

if there is a way i will find it

if there is a way i will find it

just dont set up a line-up. You can repeat that twice aswell if u like ;)

What a finish in tonight's game of the round. The Gladiators travelled to confront the Vikings after a string of wins on the home stretch. Despite being on the road against higher ranked opposition and potential playoff contenders the Gladiators made most of the running in the first period. The 16 point lead shocked the heavily favoured Vikings into gear who came out and cut the margin over the two middle periods. Heading into the 4th things were pretty much on par, however the momentum was firmly with the home side. The momentum continued to head away from the Gladiators as they began to look over-awed in front of the hone fans. With 1.02 on the clock the Vikings held a commanding 94-102. It took only 5 seconds for the visitors to get down the court and close the margin to 5. Only seconds late the lead was cut to within 2 points courtesy of back to back triples from the Gladiator guards. The vikings held firm at the line an kept their lead as time ran down. With 13 seconds left the Gladiators managed to finally tie it up after a missed FT attempt and some clutch shooting. The elation however was short-lived as Lopez shattered Gladiators dreams with a buzzerbeater for the win. Both managers should be happy with the result which showed their players could do the business down the streth under extreme pressure.

GG Schaboom