I'm not going to respond to most of these comments because I want to let the debate flow without outside influences. However, I do think I should mention a couple of things:
1. Draft = random
2. Money invested are wasted
Randomness does not imply that investing is a mistake. You should bet with me on a coin flip if I give you 2:1 odds, but you should not bet with me on a coin flip if I give you 1:2 odds. In the case of the draft, it is more complicated because whether your investment is wise probably depends upon the investments of the other people in your league and on your league finish. It is very likely that the correct amount for most teams to spend on the draft is neither $0 nor $40k/week.
It depend from the rate of randomness...I choose the first player in my draft list this year,investing a decent amount of money in the year(10/k week),and i picked up a 19years old with potential sixth man.Now,I'm not pretending to have a players with 7k salary and potential all stime great every year,but with the first choice,I'd like to have at least a decent player for my team
If you put the 19years players in the draft,you should make him a little bit stronger than the 18years old,so also if they will be disadvantaged from having one seson less than the other in their future training,they could be useful from the first moment.
i don't think this reasoning is out from the world...
Last edited by Steve Karenn at 3/27/2010 7:55:47 AM