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B3 Predictions (Elite 8):

Boston Celtics vs 猛牛

Boston Celtics have 6 of their 8 man rotation in 9 GS. 猛牛 has 4 of their 9 man rotation in 9 GS. 猛牛 Also has their starting SG injured though, which brings a huge blow to their team. The 8 man rotations are within a million of each other for added DMI, but I feel like this game will be a double digit win for the Boston Celtics.

Dutch Pacers vs SUPERLIGOTA

The Dutch Pacers are easily the most Over Powered team in the B3 this season. 5 NT players on their roster and 4 players over 4mil in DMI on their roster this week (Including two bigs with DMIs over 5million). They have 6 of their 8 man rotation in 9 GS. SUPERLIGOTA had just enough fire power to win last week but with a key injury to one of their players and two other players in their rotation being in 7 GS, they have multiple players on the TL and are almost an automatic loser for this week's matchup against the Dutch Pacers. Pacers win by 30.

Eži vs Młoty Stargard

Eži is another powerhouse in the B3 this year, with 7 NT players on their roster. 6 of their 8 man rotation is in 9 GS. Młoty has 5 players of their 8 man rotation in 9 GS, but also has a 7 GSer and a couple mid-low 8 GS players this week. As hard as it is for me to go against Młoty, I see the powerhouse team with 7 NT players on their roster winning by 10-15.

ESV Laim vs the ragin stajans

ESV Liam has 4 players of their 7 man rotation in 9 GS, but do not have much depth, as two of their 7 man rotation has DMI's this week under 400k. the rajan stajans perhaps have the most depth in the entire tournament with a solid 10 man rotation. 7 of their 10 man rotation are in 9 GS. I predict the stajans depth carrying them to the victory when ESV Laim's starters get tired and have no solid backups to put in reserve minutes. the stajans win by double digits.

Hoping for a 4/4 this round and holding my third place at least!

Great post. Lots of detail and a slightly different angle than my past posts. ( i.e. your tips appear more accurate)

How about enthusiasm and cup games?

Great predictions. I could not go against Mloty in mine, but I think others are quite obvious. We have seen some really powerful and expensive teams in the past (Venomous for twice) , but this season we have two of them.
Great season for B3

My personal belief is that I only need to take those into account when there will be very close games. The enthusiasm does not make up for a worse roster and GS update in my opinion. The closest game I think will be the third game with Stargard I view as the underdog. Their enthusiasm look about the same to me and both have won/are still in the cup.

We have seen some really powerful and expensive teams in the past (Venomous for twice) , but this season we have two of them.
Great season for B3

There was a 1.6 mill team last season but they bombed out badly in the round of 32.

An injury here or there may make the difference in the next couple of week.

The Ragin Stagins roster may not quite as expensive as Ezi or The Dutch Pacers but they might be very close to being as good

Its impossible to totally dismiss teams like Boston Celtics & Mlotly as well

Last edited by Sid Vicious at 12/28/2014 12:10:03 AM

And this season we have two of them. One with 1.6m one with 1.45m. And they made it to the Top 8. This is great.

I said that Mloty can even eliminate Ezi. Of course I cannot underestimate #1.

For Boston, I guess they will go to the semis, but then against Mloty or Ezi, it is quite a challenge for them. I assume the Top 4 is the best they can do.

Everything predicted here is without additional injuries. There is still one league match, everything can happen there. But when doing predictions, you do not consider the possibilities, do you? DMI's will not change, best we can use is them, and that is what we do:)

Some interesting match results today.

Major props to SUPERLIGOTA for winning what was essentially 700k salary and poor game shape versus 1.6m salary and excellent game shape. How he elected not use a GDP prediction in that "sure loss" is astounding to me.

On the other hand, Dutch Pacers must be kicking themselves. Questionable offensive selection and no GDP call against a crippled opponent. No offence meant there, as it arguably would've been reasonable to overlook SUPERLIGOTA (World Champion and all) given the circumstances in this particular week.

Amazing game if you look at the player ratings for each team you would assume that Dutch Pacers would have won by 20 points

(78572890)



I guess it adds to the argument that LI is the dominant offence and that patient is a bit ordinary