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Normal vs. CT: worries

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From: sneakyB

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25446.16 in reply to 25446.14
Date: 4/21/2008 3:04:50 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
44
Yeah well, good luck to you but you need to know that you have a good chance of loosing, playing normal vs. crunch.

In the french league, last season's winner in first division got his ass kicked in this year's cup quartefinals by a team from DIV. He played normal with 12 in enthusiasm, against crunch for the DIV.

From: Ragans

This Post:
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25446.18 in reply to 25446.17
Date: 4/21/2008 3:21:50 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
3030
Anyway I will take the risk and play Normal...otherwise there was no sense to build up the Entusiasm before the PO, I have played Normal already vs CT in away court and I won, I was playing all the time TIE against normal, away or at home and I won....I think there is no problem of playing Normal....
Remember there will allways be losers and someone who will always blame about something....and I believe that this game is not just about TIE/N/CT.....!!!

Plus I will have home team advantage in all games except 2nd final game...

Last edited by Ragans at 4/21/2008 3:22:44 PM

From: Ragans

This Post:
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25446.21 in reply to 25446.20
Date: 4/21/2008 3:41:56 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
3030
I cant find right now but BB-Charles posted somewhere some few days ago what happen in different variations(porobability to win or lose) If you play at home or away and options which both teams take TIE/N/CT, I am not sure but as I remember from his post that If I play at home ant choose normal and my opponent CT and plays away...it is aprox 50:50

From: Ragans

This Post:
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25446.25 in reply to 25446.23
Date: 4/21/2008 4:21:16 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
3030
well but 50:50 that was only for CT/N and home and away option....there is still few factors:
1. Your tactics choice VS opponents tactics choice
2 Your enthusiasm VS Opponents Enthusiasm
3 Your players skills VS Opponents player skills
4 Random factor :)

Anyway If you think about finals and promotion, I think it is suicide to CT, because for example if you have E=9, after CT you will have E=5-6, and what you will gona do in next game? again CT? then your E will be aprox 3, and what to do in finals then?

From: Ragans

This Post:
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25446.26 in reply to 25446.23
Date: 4/21/2008 4:31:03 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
3030
Finally found:

From BB-Charles:

By the way, here are some aggregate statistics, so that we can look at TiE/CT effects as a whole instead of individual examples. These are obviously not randomly-selected games, since teams attempt to choose TiE/CT for tactical reasons.

When both teams play TiE, the home team has a record of 417-277.
When the home team plays TiE against normal, it has a record of 829-826.
When the home team plays TiE against CT, it has a record of 104-200.
When the home team plays normal against TiE, it has a record of 1262-483.
When the home team plays normal against CT, it has a record of 703-759.
When the home team plays CT against TiE, it has a record of 265-38.
When the home team plays CT against normal, it has a record of 1171-357.
When the home team plays CT against CT, it has 205-107.

I did not include normal vs. normal, since those will be mostly bot games, but globally the home team edge is at around 63%.

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