BuzzerBeater Forums

That's not how statistic works

That's exactly like it works. You have data points above and below the average. It was clearly 27 points not 47 though. It doesn't change the point since with 27 it's still a blowout for the guests. Both 6 and 27 would be outliers around the mean of the exact same magnitude.

Besides that, I don't you can adjust PP100 that way because of actual limitations on Points per shot.

Are you saying that the ratings were not exactly indicative of performance? In that respect I agree, but it's not what the manual says.

What would you want those ratings to display then?

The sensible average calculated based on the numbers the GE will use in the simulation. Ratings are the result of analytical formulas and I believe that the 98.6 number is incorrect as it weighs skills like it correctly did with a slightly different GE.

It's no mystery that they fiddled with the GE in the last few seasons, so if they haven't changed how ratings are calculated (both team's and scoring) we're looking at incorrect numbers and people will continue to ask why the ratings do not reflect games and how they lost although they had better ratings. Conversely, it may happen that you know you've been dominated, then you look at the ratings and it seems you would had won the game 8 times out of 10.

you can conclude they had a bad offensive game, an outlying result.

An equally valid conclusion would be that the rating is incorrect and the player had a perfectly average game.

some meaningless random statistics produced as a byproduct of the randomly generated games

Ok so if ratings (team and scoring) are meaningless why even analyse a game through them? That's my point: either the ratings are reasonably correct and we can take them as an indication or we can't. It's ok if there is a margin of error and variance around the mean, but not to the point where you conclude that they are meaningless

Sorry I misread or you edited, but I thought you said the next time the PG's should score 47(27) points. That's obviously not the case, but yes the PG's could score 27 points on 17 shots, probably with the same chance as the 6p on 17. If all factors and outcomes stay the same and just that 1 outcome is overturned, yes there would be a big difference in score, but that's perfectly possible too. It's just less and less likely that all the factors are in favor of one team to cause a blowout if the teams are about equal in strength. I think there's so many statistics that are calculated that it's hard to have them all line up and cause a huge anomoly. Maybe there's a limiter in the GE to preven that from happening, I don't know. I do know that players can have bad games.

Even if the PP100 aren't entirely accurate, I don't think it differs immensely from what it should be. The changes in the GE aren't that drastic, so why would the PP100 calculations change drastically? Even if it's 10% difference and the PG's would have 90 PP100, the 6p on 17s is still a pretty big outlier.