It is crazy, and as I've said before, I've played Hattrick, a soccer game very similar to BB. You don't have playoffs, but to get promoted you actually have to do
more than win your league, and it has the same concept as Enthusiasm. So I've had experience with this rock-paper-scissors business of debating Normal, CT and TIE (HT calls them "Match of the Season" and "Play it Cool").
In my position, 6th hosting 7th, the easy answer would have been to CT. Doing otherwise and losing would have invited all sorts of derision. At one point a few days ago I'd filled out my orders that way, but changed my mind, conventional wisdom be damned, and decided to go normal. Today I thought about it some more, and not only decided to stay normal, but gamed it out from SVJ's side and realised his best move was to TIE.
As it turned out, that's exactly what he did. If he loses, some might think it was foolish, but if you look at our schedules, and the playoff situation you've described, I think you'll see he made the right move. If anything, the most apt criticism might be of me, for not playing TIE.
Thank goodness I've been in this situation before, because there are some really bright people up here, and if you come up unprepared, you're liable to get your ass handed to you.
PS Can I give a shout-out to this guy?
(17869771) Kiko played 21 minutes this morning in a Turkish league game, then hopped in an experimental hypersonic aircraft -- which he designed, built, and piloted himself -- and arrived just before tipoff so he could make his debut tonight. I just want him to know that the entire Sparta family appreciates his dedication.