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WILL BB Ever Evolve??!!! (thread closed)

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301182.21 in reply to 301182.20
Date: 9/4/2019 11:52:22 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
1818
The market is overvalued and under used . there's need to be some better guidelines involved. I don't. Know the right answer to that? But you to have been here a while. Vate to explain why


[match=XXX]
But outside shooting team is possible, but you won't find it on the market in talent which is where the problem lye.

Last edited by john otters at 9/4/2019 11:54:50 AM

This Post:
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301182.23 in reply to 301182.22
Date: 9/4/2019 6:59:14 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1818
Thank you for the kind reply?.. I would like to ask do you think the taxes already in place do a good job of steering the game in the best direction.

If "look inside" is the issue why not lower the use of it. Has this ever been discussed. Has the game ever had or offered tactic specific tourneyments? The reason I asked this is because its good way to learn about tactics from well known long term users like yourself. It also keep the forum flowing with content driven discussion.

Auto bid sounds ok. But it still can be outbidded by live user. Also it kind of unfair in a sense mass money in involved. The most money will win bid every time. Unless there's a set reserve.a

This Post:
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301182.25 in reply to 301182.24
Date: 9/5/2019 12:00:19 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
1818
Thank you for the kind reply. Last question if its ok?

Have you ever created a outside shooting player or team. If so ,would it be ok to see the skills needed , exact cost ? It doesn't have to be your exact owned player.

Last edited by john otters at 9/5/2019 12:05:47 AM

This Post:
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301182.27 in reply to 301182.26
Date: 9/5/2019 4:33:26 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
OUtside tactics and players require an overall team build of stats to make flow work.
That's unproven. I have seen no evidence that better flow = better outside shooting. The evidence is there for inside tactics but not for outside ones and that may actually be part of the problem.

Last edited by Lemonshine at 9/5/2019 4:33:58 AM

This Post:
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301182.28 in reply to 301182.27
Date: 9/5/2019 10:32:13 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
What I would like to see is someone trying to 'game' the GE, trying something unconventional. There are essentially 2 things you can try as an outside oriented team:
1) No passing 1 to 3
2) No DR

Now, no. 2) is nigh impossible at top level, because the players won't have enough outside skills if DR/HA are low (it would require a significant change in training). No.1 is an interesting proposition and could be tested even in lower leagues. Since what we know is that guarded/unguarded outside shots seem to have similar percentages it's possible that the outcome of such an experiment would be:
- 1-3 will take an even higher proportion of shots and big men will pass more
- 1-3 may take a higher proportion of 3s and/or drives depending on their skills
- No change or marginal change to the FG%

This could be a team with a lower number of jump shots, low assist numbers and more 3s and drives. Almost all jump shots and 3s would be contested, but if it's true that guarded/unguarded shots have a similar FG% why would you care? And even if the probability is low, guarded shots have at least a chance of leading to FTs. This seems a smarter experiment than trying to get the big men to take more outside shots and should be salary efficient allowing for SB for example. I'd definitely try this if I didn't have training in the way.

Of course one could go 2) with big men in inside oriented teams, but I already know what happens in that case if you have good PA throughout: the player will take a lot more dunks and inside shots than average and cut the layups, which means he may even benefit from having no DR, as he'd be more efficient. I started a 80 TSP player for several seasons in D1 and he had 1 HA and 1 DR.

Last edited by Lemonshine at 9/5/2019 10:38:57 AM

This Post:
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301182.30 in reply to 301182.29
Date: 9/5/2019 10:45:28 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
FLow effects shot quality and shooting %.

It has been charted and even admitted by BBs in the past. Don't ask me to dig it up. Maybe you weren't around then. I don't know.
Numbers suggest otherwise. Your statement is acceptable for inside shots not for outside. More research is needed but the numbers do not suggest a large effect of Flow if any. For example when I did the analysis of B3 games for several seasons, it turned out that 3 pointers in Motion and R&G actually had a worse TS% when open (by 5% and 10%). In any case only about 25-30% of those shots was open anyway.

It may be that a few hundred shots was not a big enough sample but still. Once you start looking at the results you find a lot of stuff that makes no sense: there are 3 type of shot that have 0% chance of going in when open and >0% when guarded (fade away, hooks and turnaround jumpers). That was 300 out 30k open shots in the whole sample, but it is abnormal.

Anyway let's see if 20/20 JS/JR with no flow works I guess. Good luck making the players and testing it.
I wouldn't think you need 20/20 and in any case you can check this at lower levels as well, it doesn't need to be D1 or B3 level.

bad shot selection
Inside shots have terrible FG% in Motion, R&G and Princeton, just like 3 pointers are bad in LI and LP. So arguably just like in LI you want to get dunks, inside shots and layups, in outside offenses you want jumpers and 3 pointers. PA on the guards works well in inside offenses because makes the efficient shots more likely. Arguably it works the other way for outside offenses. So even if my data was lacking and there is a limited effect of flow on jump shots (likely, but limited) and 3 pointers (data says probably no), you still may benefit because you increase the number of 'good' shots your team will take.

Last edited by Lemonshine at 9/5/2019 10:50:13 PM

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