My concern is that many people, like you, have to make blind calls when it comes to this sort of situations.
I did buy high, but I also sold high to supplement the purchases. It mostly evens out over time. I think those that choose to play this as a financial game instead of a basketball game are the ones most at risk by drastic changes in the market.
"Well, no ones gonna top that." - http://tinyurl.com/noigttt