If you were in my spot of my league, with my schedule, you'd have 4 wins just by default. I mean look, I won 5 of 7 conference games! 3 of the teams in my conference are rent-a-wins, three startup franchises stuck here by bot cleanup over the last half a season. and all three of the startup teams have gone bot since I got here, so none of them is improving at all. and three of the other 4 are right around or just above you and me.
in the other division I might believe 3-6 or 4-5. depending on whether you played any of the teams in line for the playoffs out of the other side yet. the other side has less gimme games, though nobody that just destroys the others.