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lol real great job on the simulation

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This Post:
00
229143.22 in reply to 229143.1
Date: 11/4/2012 7:52:46 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
766766
when i was 17 i had to ref the 15 year olds inter-school basketball game. The guys who signed up for it had never actually played basketball, they thought it was just some kind of fun thing, little did they know they would be playing against 15 year olds from other schools who were basically the best in the state.

So they played 5 games at the inter-school tournament. . They scored 2 points. literally, 2 points. for the whole five games. they hardly even got a shot up most of the time. it was just turnover turnover turnover. it was horrible to watch.

so im sorry to break it to you, but this does actually happen in real life.

From: WFUnDina

This Post:
00
229143.24 in reply to 229143.23
Date: 11/5/2012 10:56:49 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
394394
A few years back, my wife and I, were leaving Vegas. I was up 300$ from card tables. On the way out the casino I wanted to make 1 big bet, you know double it or nothing. So I was watching this 1 roulette wheel. It kept hitting red. It was up to 13 straight red numbers. I watched hit red a few more times, it was about 17 or 18 straight red, so I put my winnings on black. It had to hit right. Wrong. So I kept watching until it hit black. 22 times it hit red consecutively, then a green. It went back to red two more times before hitting black. Long story short, I wasn't leaving Vegas with the 300$!

This Post:
00
229143.25 in reply to 229143.24
Date: 11/5/2012 12:22:12 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
4545
This is the old Gambler's Fallacy which is a favorite of mine. Remember watching a movie where some kid was like...roulette just hit Red 12 times in a row. Black is FOR SURE going to hit. And they hit and won.

He had a 50% chance of winning, not 51% or 52% becaues the wheel showed Red the last 12 times. If he would have said a bit earlier, red just hit 7 times in a row, black is going to hit this next one FOR SURE...he would have lost 5 times in a row.

With games of pure chance you can't include previous results. The wheel has no memory. If anything, I would be inclined to choose the color that keeps getting picked because maybe the wheel or marble has a flaw that gives it a preference for Red?

I think the buzzerbeater random calculation is very minimal in impact and mimics real results. The results here are pretty standard and I usually win games I expect to win and have close games where the level is pretty close.

This Post:
11
229143.27 in reply to 229143.26
Date: 11/5/2012 10:12:56 PM
Headless Thompson Gunners
Naismith
Overall Posts Rated:
716716
Second Team:
Canada Purple Haze BC
it's quite the rush even if it is a losing proposition
I swear you must spell the word the - hte 90% of the time

This Post:
00
229143.28 in reply to 229143.27
Date: 11/5/2012 10:51:26 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
774774
True. It is meant as entertainment and should be considered as such. You go for a couple hours, spend within your budget, and expect to get none of it back. If it is to make money, you're an idiot.

Say two hours at a ball game, the ticket is $100.
You can spend a couple hours playing blackjack and lose $100.

Someone might find the entertainment value of playing blackjack higher than watching A-Rod strike out 4 times a game or Rich Garces trot (waddle) in from the bullpen during a baseball game. Although both of those are more entertaining for me.

If you remember me, then I don't care if everyone else forgets.
From: WFUnDina

This Post:
00
229143.30 in reply to 229143.29
Date: 11/6/2012 12:17:03 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
394394
I'm not encouraging gambling or do it often, 3 times in 18 years. I brought the story up for the randomness factor.

This Post:
00
229143.31 in reply to 229143.30
Date: 11/6/2012 12:19:06 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
774774
I brought the story up for the randomness factor.


Just what BB needs, more randomness! ;)

If you remember me, then I don't care if everyone else forgets.
This Post:
00
229143.32 in reply to 229143.3
Date: 11/6/2012 4:54:58 PM
J&J team
II.4
Overall Posts Rated:
9797
in ligue under 12 years one time we won with result 90:6 so everithig is posible. (sory for my english)

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