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18 years old for sale

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From: CrazyEye

This Post:
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201834.23 in reply to 201834.22
Date: 11/9/2011 8:03:57 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
But the real chanche would be 2,083 percent


I agree this is valid for one draft. But we are talking about multiple situations. This statement was thrown out there


make it like thousand of them, then it will be still the same chanche and an average around ~20,83.

make it then thousand times, and the chanche for a single draw is 2,083 and in average there would be 208,3 cases like that.

Is this really a problem and does it happen often. Well I do not know exactly how many leagues there are in buzzerbeater. But looking at Estonia only, having 341 leagues. With those all populated and using the same exponential adding of percentages, we get a chance of hitting a better player for blind drafter so close to 0, that it's not even worth mentioning.


small sample are usually even more depending on random , instead of close to zero it could be 54 or 15% and in this case the chanches that i am right is nearly the same when you consider the missing factors ;)

Last edited by CrazyEye at 11/9/2011 8:05:18 PM

This Post:
00
201834.24 in reply to 201834.17
Date: 11/10/2011 12:57:35 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
105105
I didn't see a player who had been worth X in the NBA got five times his value on another team.


the salary stay the same ;) And NBA players don't progress with that speed, but franchise also measure talent versus skill differently.
I didn't said that the price is fixed.
I said that there is a not that wide range of value between clubs for the same player.
This was also what I've suggested here.

This Post:
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201834.25 in reply to 201834.18
Date: 11/10/2011 1:00:16 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
105105
So what you are saying is. You can pick that best player (without spending on draft) over a guy (who is spending money on draft) 99%?, 75%?, 50%, 25%, 10%, 1% of a time. What is your educated guess? Is this really a problem. In what league has this happened? How often has this happened?
I would say a player investing about 140k in draft will pick a better player 99% of the time, even if he is picking second, after the blind drafter.
Who says that in the NBA each team invest the same on draft?
Why being last should be automatically rewarded? This is just encouraging to tank on several occasions (when you cannot take your league...).

This Post:
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201834.26 in reply to 201834.25
Date: 11/10/2011 4:50:11 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
163163
I think that the bb draft is about luck because you can choose a SG 5 star evaluation and 5 star potential, and you discover that he has respectable in JS, JR, DR and HN, but 1 or 2 in OD.
So you had spend your money for what?
In my experience it's the truth that who spend choose better, 80% (or more) of draft is about luck.
I chose my best draft players when I haven't spent money

This Post:
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201834.27 in reply to 201834.26
Date: 11/10/2011 5:53:46 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
105105
I think that the bb draft is about luck because you can choose a SG 5 star evaluation and 5 star potential, and you discover that he has respectable in JS, JR, DR and HN, but 1 or 2 in OD.
So you had spend your money for what?
In my experience it's the truth that who spend choose better, 80% (or more) of draft is about luck.
I chose my best draft players when I haven't spent money

As I wrote - this is not exactly luck.
It is bad assessment of player qualities - like what happened for Portland when choosing Oden over Durant.

In any case you wouldn't want this game to be pure luck game. don't you?
You wouldn't want the games to be decided by a flip of a coin.

And you surely don't want the game to be fulled with "tankers".
Usually there are maybe 4 out of 16 teams that has chance to be promoted.
Would you like that they will be the only users to actually put their effort and all the others just to tank all season long?
This is an extreme situation of what is currently happening on the BB leagues.

This Post:
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201834.28 in reply to 201834.27
Date: 11/10/2011 7:10:33 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
163163
I think that the bb draft is about luck because you can choose a SG 5 star evaluation and 5 star potential, and you discover that he has respectable in JS, JR, DR and HN, but 1 or 2 in OD.
So you had spend your money for what?
In my experience it's the truth that who spend choose better, 80% (or more) of draft is about luck.
I chose my best draft players when I haven't spent money

As I wrote - this is not exactly luck.
It is bad assessment of player qualities - like what happened for Portland when choosing Oden over Durant.

In any case you wouldn't want this game to be pure luck game. don't you?
You wouldn't want the games to be decided by a flip of a coin.

And you surely don't want the game to be fulled with "tankers".
Usually there are maybe 4 out of 16 teams that has chance to be promoted.
Would you like that they will be the only users to actually put their effort and all the others just to tank all season long?
This is an extreme situation of what is currently happening on the BB leagues.

I haven't understood what you mean.
My proposal is to add tax on 18 years old players sale.
The situation that you talk about is to another proposal, to increase skills of drafted players, but it's not my proposal