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BBB Season 14 - Prediction Contest

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This Post:
00
159172.28 in reply to 159172.27
Date: 10/13/2010 2:03:09 PM
Nitra Corgons
Extraliga
Overall Posts Rated:
10361036
Second Team:
Nitra Urpiners
Thanks. I believe this game is proof the power shifts to inside.

1 BBB, 20 Leagues, 10 Tournaments, 3 Europe Titles (SVK), 2 World Bronzes (SVK), 2 Europe Bronzes (SVK,FRA), 42 Seasons NT coaching
From: brian

This Post:
00
159172.29 in reply to 159172.28
Date: 10/13/2010 2:28:14 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
576576
Or that his PG had a randomly terrible performance for his matchup rating. 3 for 16 on a 97.6 pp100?! Ouch.

"Well, no ones gonna top that." - http://tinyurl.com/noigttt
This Post:
00
159172.30 in reply to 159172.28
Date: 10/13/2010 11:56:59 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
203203
Nice win from the foul line (8+) and well done with 5+ Rebounds in the 3-2 zone.

From: rwystyrk

This Post:
00
159172.31 in reply to 159172.29
Date: 10/14/2010 4:10:39 AM
BC Hostivař
První liga
Overall Posts Rated:
12321232
Second Team:
Jirkov
pp100 is calculated in quite strange way. It's not unusual to have such a numbers.

This Post:
00
159172.32 in reply to 159172.31
Date: 10/14/2010 10:16:40 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
404404
pp100 is calculated in quite strange way. It's not unusual to have such a numbers.

It's not strange at all

pp100 are the points calculated on 100 shots attempted,distributed as in the game,but not all the shots have the same weight on the final calculation

a 3pt shot made,worth 3 points;a ft made worth 1 point

The only shots that eisen Pg scores were the shots that worth more in the final calculation of pp100,so also if he was very uneffective in the game,his pp100 was high

This Post:
00
159172.33 in reply to 159172.32
Date: 10/14/2010 2:33:43 PM
BC Hostivař
První liga
Overall Posts Rated:
12321232
Second Team:
Jirkov
are you sure ft's are counted to pp100?

But in general I don't undestand your idea. It I undestand right pp100, it should be calculated in this way:
Example:
PG shot 3 shots in game
1) 3pt with probability 0.3
2) 2pt with probability 0.6
3) 2pt with porbability 0.5
Than pp100 should be counted:
(((0.3*3)+(0.6*2)+(0.5*2))/3)*100=103.3

So than it should be only about being lucky or unlucky to score more or less than pp100 shows. What else should influence his effectivity to be smaller than pp100?

This Post:
00
159172.34 in reply to 159172.33
Date: 10/14/2010 4:36:30 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
404404
are you sure ft's are counted to pp100?

But in general I don't undestand your idea. It I undestand right pp100, it should be calculated in this way:
Example:
PG shot 3 shots in game
1) 3pt with probability 0.3
2) 2pt with probability 0.6
3) 2pt with porbability 0.5
Than pp100 should be counted:
(((0.3*3)+(0.6*2)+(0.5*2))/3)*100=103.3

So than it should be only about being lucky or unlucky to score more or less than pp100 shows. What else should influence his effectivity to be smaller than pp100?

I think that if pp100 works work only in this way,it should be a very poor indication for the manager,while I find it a good indicator to analyze the match

This Post:
00
159172.35 in reply to 159172.33
Date: 10/14/2010 5:45:20 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
409409
are you sure ft's are counted to pp100?

But in general I don't undestand your idea. It I undestand right pp100, it should be calculated in this way:
Example:
PG shot 3 shots in game
1) 3pt with probability 0.3
2) 2pt with probability 0.6
3) 2pt with porbability 0.5
Than pp100 should be counted:
(((0.3*3)+(0.6*2)+(0.5*2))/3)*100=103.3

So than it should be only about being lucky or unlucky to score more or less than pp100 shows. What else should influence his effectivity to be smaller than pp100?


Maybe you're going in the right direction but I think the distribution is not linear. Very likely different positions have different weights for every category of point(more weight for 2pt shots when calculating C position than PG, for example) and also tactics should affect those weights.

From: Marot

This Post:
00
159172.36 in reply to 159172.28
Date: 10/14/2010 9:05:30 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
916916
Thanks. I believe this game is proof the power shifts to inside.


Good game ¡


PD: Eisen secundary skills lost the game.

This Post:
00
159172.37 in reply to 159172.34
Date: 10/14/2010 9:25:50 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
576576
I think that if pp100 works work only in this way,it should be a very poor indication for the manager,while I find it a good indicator to analyze the match



It's a rating based on the tactics chosen and matchups. If I have players with high pp100 ratings its because I put them in a good tactic and position for their skillset. It's out of a managers hands at that point.



Last edited by brian at 10/14/2010 9:26:11 PM

"Well, no ones gonna top that." - http://tinyurl.com/noigttt
This Post:
00
159172.38 in reply to 159172.37
Date: 10/20/2010 3:53:11 PM
Leones del Cinaruco
FCBBP
Overall Posts Rated:
27092709
OMG.... The club's world ranking sucks!
_________________


(28933510)

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