Wow, so quick to dis an idea with potential.
Ok, so you think we should put 20-22 year old players in the draft with salaries up to 50k or so (I estimate Deron Williams, Brandon Roy or David Lee would be at least in this range...)? Of course only one or two players of this caliber could be put in each draft pool, but imagine the rant if someone gets lucky and drafts two of those beasts in consecutive years...
How would this change the U21 competition? I think this would hugely improve the big countries and make the smaller countries almost chanceless - I would not want this to happen.
Deron Williams wasn’t an all-star as a rookie, and that is typical for drafted upperclassmen, even the ones who eventually mature and become solid if not spectacular players. Maybe Joakim Noah, drafted after his senior season, will be an all-star this coming season after his rookie season will more about his immaturity than his skills. Most of the older draftees are not household names during their careers. But then again, neither are most underclassmen. Any draft produces a variety of results. Michael Jordan, who was drafted after his junior year, was an all-star as a rookie. Maybe he wouldn’t have become “Michael Jordan” without the extra season or two learning the game from Dean Smith. These days big-time superstars are most likely to be the players drafted as underclassmen (in the case of American players who go through the college system). But overall I think the idea is to bring a little more variety to the draft.
It’s my opinion that limiting a skill level at “respectable” isn’t so realistic since we all know that some very young players out there have some serious skill before they’re 18/19. (What would John Wall’s driving skill be at?) I’m generally an advocate for introducing more individual variation between players to account for players who develop faster or slower than others, who are over the hill sooner or later than others, who actually reach their potential and who exceeds their potential. So in the case of the draft, I’m certainly in favor bringing some variety, and if that means that some players are coming out the draft with salaries already close to their potential, I’d rather see that (probably rolled out with a revised training system) then the current system that’s pretty far from reality. The “18/19-year-old only draft” with the game’s robotic training regime is a bit mundane. The fact that there are some rules of thumb about where players will top out at their specified potential and there’s no risk that a player isn’t exactly who you think he is tells me this system could use a little shake-up. A little unpredictability. A little more risk.
Okay, I recognize my thinking may seem a little radical here, but surely there are more moderate ways to bring the older players into the draft. Maybe the main difference between a younger player and an older player is the older players are more likely to be closer to their potential and would not require as much training to develop them, and maybe their potential is likely to be as high as a younger player. I would personally look favorably on an older player as a prospect if he has useful skills and I know that I could stick him on my roster and still devote more of my training time to the younger players.
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