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Playoff Final 2nd match

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This Post:
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27223.3 in reply to 27223.2
Date: 5/1/2008 8:31:51 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
If you now TIE, you loose and will have enthousiasm 7 on sunday, wich probably makes you loose against the other team with enthousiasm 10, unless your team is better.


With homecourt i would bet on the home team with enthusiam 7 with similiar teams.

And his opponentn, play like him at the first game:

Both teams played at the same effort level.

So i would play normal and then CT - i won't expect such a big boost from enthusiams that he should waste his chanches from the away game totaly.

This Post:
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27223.4 in reply to 27223.3
Date: 5/1/2008 8:55:33 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
9696
hm. The boost will be big, it will be 2 levels, and that is quite a bit...

He now plays away, so even when playing normal, he could loose if his opponent plays TIE. This gives his opponent a plus for the final game.

I would not play normal in this second game, I'd gamble on either playing CT to get it finished, but it is quite risky if his opponent also decides to CT. Or I would play TIE.
And I'd go for the last.

He has game 1, so he can loose this game. He won at home, so if he now TIEs, he will have higher enthousiasm for his final game, which is at home again. If he then CTs, he should win no matter what his opponent plays now...

They are not your friends; they dispise you. I am the only one you can count on. Trust me.
This Post:
00
27223.5 in reply to 27223.4
Date: 5/1/2008 9:06:38 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
hm. The boost will be big, it will be 2 levels, and that is quite a bit...

r
eal low 2 levels, because if he got enthusiams 5 he got a high six or low seven. And that ain't so much, maybe 5-10% higher chanches to win his home Game(i think more the 5%).

But to play the TIE away, your chanches drop more then 10% to win the game, and if you ain't lokking for the last game i would take the higher chanche to promote because promotion gives you a lot of money(even if he promotes anyway because of the bot cleanup, the league champion gets a fine boost of his season ticket holders).

This Post:
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27223.6 in reply to 27223.1
Date: 5/1/2008 9:58:36 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
1919
Without any doubt, you should tie the next game and crunch the tiebreaker game. By sacrificing game 2, you will get more revenue and more training than if you crunched and won game 2. Besides, your chances are much higher to win game 3 than game 2 since you will have home court in game 3 (if you crunch and lose game 2, then it would be very unlikely for you to win game 3).

This Post:
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27223.7 in reply to 27223.6
Date: 5/1/2008 10:09:10 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
2222
what about if we both have motivation of 5 and the 2nd game's at home.. go for CT and finish it or TIE, maybe loose and going CT at his place in third match?

This Post:
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27223.8 in reply to 27223.7
Date: 5/1/2008 12:30:56 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1919
in that case, your best odds are to crunch in game 2. in all likelihood, your opponent will crunch as well in game 2, but with home-court advantage, all else equal, your team should win.

if you are a risk taker, you could tie under the assumtion that your opponent will crunch in game 2, giving you a win in the third game (and the extra revenue and training). however, your opponent may go against the obvious choice of crunching in game 2 - so it is not recommended.

From: SimonL

This Post:
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27223.9 in reply to 27223.1
Date: 5/2/2008 1:30:29 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
i would just try to win it.

This Post:
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27223.10 in reply to 27223.9
Date: 5/3/2008 9:07:53 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
What would you do if enthusiasm was +-equal and you played the 2nd game away? I think the best way is to TIE it ( I have slightly bettter team, the opponent TIED the first game but CRUNCHED the semifinals, i played both - semifinals+1st finals - normal and won the first final game.) because the opponent certainly will have worse enthusiasm in the 3rd game (he won't have the balls to TIE and if he had, he would lose.) + I'll enjoy the homecourt advantage.

This Post:
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27223.11 in reply to 27223.10
Date: 5/3/2008 11:37:47 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
9696
chances are high he will TIE at home in order to gain as much enthousiasm as possible for the final game.
He knows he will have a chance to loose, but if he doesn't, he is almost certain to loose game 3, so he will have to gamble that he will win with TIE to be able to get any chance in the third game (this is exactly what I did last year too btw).
So maybe your only chance is to CT this game...
Choice is up to you, but I'd TIE if I where him...

EDIT: besides, if you play CT, and he does not, you probably win now. So in order for him to have any chance, he need to CT too. This means you both will have about the same enthousiasm for the final game, and you have houme court... so even if you CT and loose now, you still have decent chance tomorrow!
I'd definatly CT tonight...

Last edited by Lord of Doom at 5/3/2008 11:39:45 AM

They are not your friends; they dispise you. I am the only one you can count on. Trust me.
This Post:
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27223.12 in reply to 27223.11
Date: 5/3/2008 12:07:06 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
Yes, but if I lose now, i'll get an extra training..if he TIEs, he'll proably lose even if i tie...My team is better. If he plays normal/CT, i'll have better enthusiasm and homecourt in the third game.
And i personally dont believe he would TIE it...this is a must win for him.
+I have a good chance even if he plays normal today.

The catastrophic scenario: He TIEs, wins---> We have the same enthusiasm and I have slightly better team and the homecourt)

I agree that to TIE this game is a bit more risky than to CT it. But I'd like to celebrate the title at home with my fans:))

Last edited by DecoSouza at 5/3/2008 12:17:59 PM

This Post:
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27223.13 in reply to 27223.12
Date: 5/3/2008 12:15:11 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
9696
hm.
If this is true, then I honestly can't see why you where asking for advise.
:)

They are not your friends; they dispise you. I am the only one you can count on. Trust me.
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