You probably want to promote more than i do :P I think i can probably beat wolf pack but against Grounders or TBG i am not sure if i can win playoff normal. IF i do make it to the finals i do agree that the key factors would be
-Injuries (if my backup pg/sg can return in time, or if anyone else on either team gets injured.
-GDP- both our teams have tons of usable strategies making it very hard to predict, high risk factor in predicting.
-HCA- not too sure how much this matters, but i think i will have HCA for 2 out of the possible three games (not too sure how it works) but i'll take any extra "advantage" i can get.
-GS- probably the biggest factor, pretty self explanatory.
Spider team is better than my team in terms of salaries, and our backups are around the same level, but we never know some factor like handling and passing/shot block, really bring up salaries. Also Spider team has older players so there is possibility of skill drops that might affect the outcome slightly. only slight advantage in position is have is maybe in SF. GDP will be really be a huge factor.
If i do not promote this season, prepare to see the same team with maybe 1-3 new (possibly better) players on my team next season.