Well you have several key home games in this last part of the season. As you sit on 8 wins it will be hard for you to overtake Camborne if he manages to win another game. 11 wins will likely guarantee a playoff spot or the 5th seed.
Best case scenarios for each team and my predictions are:
- Galaxy Walkers best case 17-5 [my prediction 17-5, 5-0 in the last 5]
- Camborne 12-10 (he will need to beat Doncaster or Gauson at home, but I think he's more likely to lose both than to win both) [11-11, 1-4 in the last 5]
- Gauson 13-9 (depends if he can beat Erks at home next week) [12-10, 3-2]
- Stinkies 12-10 (I could go for 13-9, but why would I? Right Jakub?) [12-10, 3-2]
- Atletas 11-11 (for 11-11 you need to beat me or Gauson on the road or Galaxy at home in the last one) [10-12, 2-3]
- Erks 11-11 (yes, he might finish with a 5-0, but he needs to beat Gauson and Doncaster on the road. Not easy, but considering current Enth and GS he could pull it off) [10-12, 4-1]
- Mikitos 7-15 (he will try to win a home game I think, he lost a good chance against Camborne, so the other eligible candidates are Doncaster or maybe Gauson at home or Atletas on the road.. I don't think Mikitos will win any of the games left, his calendar is hard: good teams at home and weaker teams on the road) [6-16, 0-5]
- Doncaster 10-12 (key games here are Erks at home and Camborne on the road, if he wins both he will be 10-12, still not good enough to make the playoffs, but maybe he can be 5th-7th on PD, I think he won't win both especially considering he has the worst Enth on the red side) [9-13, 2-3]
So to review my previous posts I think Galaxy me and Gauson will be in the playoffs. Then 4th-7th will be some order of Camborne, Erks, you and Doncaster, PD may play a huge factor here, especially if everyone ends up 10-12. Doncaster will be the most likely to be 7th and there is a decent chance Camborne nails the 4th spot at 11-11.
Key games to go per session:
26/8
Gauson @ Camborne (if Camborne wins I don't think anyone will catch him for 4th)
29/8
Erks @ Gauson (Erks needs to win either this game or Doncaster to make it to 10 wins and both to make it to 11)
2/9
Doncaster @ Camborne (again if Camborne wins, he's likely safe. Doncaster can't afford to lose this or he won't even make it to 10 wins)
5/9
Erks @ Doncaster (probably a key game to determine the relegation spots. they both play Mikitos the previous week so GS will be key)
9/9
Galaxy Walkers @ Atletas or Gauson @ Mikitos (sitting comfortably at 16-5, Galaxy will either try to get garbage time or rest the starters. I think he will go for the win and have a go at Finals HCA, but if he does the latter then this game could be open and you could make 11 wins. Mikitos will probably crunch the last game to avoid the boycott if he's 0-6 in the last third of the season, that should make the Gauson game competitive)
Edit: Damn Galaxy Walkers ruining my prediction. He might end up selling some of those guys, then he will be more beatable.
Last edited by Lemonshine at 8/23/2017 4:21:03 PM