BuzzerBeater Forums

BB Global (English) > BBB Season 14 - Prediction Contest

BBB Season 14 - Prediction Contest

Set priority
Show messages by
This Post:
00
159172.35 in reply to 159172.33
Date: 10/14/2010 5:45:20 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
409409
are you sure ft's are counted to pp100?

But in general I don't undestand your idea. It I undestand right pp100, it should be calculated in this way:
Example:
PG shot 3 shots in game
1) 3pt with probability 0.3
2) 2pt with probability 0.6
3) 2pt with porbability 0.5
Than pp100 should be counted:
(((0.3*3)+(0.6*2)+(0.5*2))/3)*100=103.3

So than it should be only about being lucky or unlucky to score more or less than pp100 shows. What else should influence his effectivity to be smaller than pp100?


Maybe you're going in the right direction but I think the distribution is not linear. Very likely different positions have different weights for every category of point(more weight for 2pt shots when calculating C position than PG, for example) and also tactics should affect those weights.

From: Marot

This Post:
00
159172.36 in reply to 159172.28
Date: 10/14/2010 9:05:30 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
916916
Thanks. I believe this game is proof the power shifts to inside.


Good game ¡


PD: Eisen secundary skills lost the game.

This Post:
00
159172.37 in reply to 159172.34
Date: 10/14/2010 9:25:50 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
576576
I think that if pp100 works work only in this way,it should be a very poor indication for the manager,while I find it a good indicator to analyze the match



It's a rating based on the tactics chosen and matchups. If I have players with high pp100 ratings its because I put them in a good tactic and position for their skillset. It's out of a managers hands at that point.



Last edited by brian at 10/14/2010 9:26:11 PM

"Well, no ones gonna top that." - http://tinyurl.com/noigttt
This Post:
00
159172.38 in reply to 159172.37
Date: 10/20/2010 3:53:11 PM
Leones del Cinaruco
FCBBP
Overall Posts Rated:
27092709
OMG.... The club's world ranking sucks!
_________________


(28933510)

This Post:
00
159172.39 in reply to 159172.35
Date: 10/20/2010 3:58:53 PM
BC Hostivař
První liga
Overall Posts Rated:
12321232
Second Team:
Jirkov
In my theory it is calculated from real shot distribution in the game, so it's weighted automatically.

This Post:
00
159172.40 in reply to 159172.38
Date: 10/20/2010 4:57:58 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
404404
OMG.... The club's world ranking sucks!
_________________


(28933510)

Club's world ranking doesn't decide the line-ups of the game ;D

This Post:
00
159172.41 in reply to 159172.40
Date: 10/20/2010 5:08:04 PM
Leones del Cinaruco
FCBBP
Overall Posts Rated:
27092709
Neither make my predictions

This Post:
00
159172.43 in reply to 159172.42
Date: 10/20/2010 10:54:40 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
203203
3 OTs here: (28933504)

This Post:
00
159172.44 in reply to 159172.43
Date: 10/21/2010 12:12:37 AM
Leones del Cinaruco
FCBBP
Overall Posts Rated:
27092709
I won!

This Post:
00
159172.45 in reply to 159172.44
Date: 10/21/2010 2:03:45 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
203203
Congrats.
Me too :P

But did you have any luck in the B3 Predictions contest this week? That's more important :D

Last edited by Onisifor at 10/21/2010 2:06:06 AM

Advertisement