i would stay with spain as topfavorit, and maybe put germany at 2 even when we are pretty optimistic around here. Even when it doesn't look like this in the last game, we german worry about our defence and believe we have one of the talentest midfield ever with 2 good scorers in front.
netherland defence also doesn't look so strong on paper two, but they had great offensiv minds so maybe they are more extrem version of us even when they failed to score the last game^^ But i didn't throw my predictions away after one match, number 4 is maybe italy but it is close like always at the EM.