3. The game, lineup, tactics, effort, GDP, any defensive switches
a) what can we play -- rng, ptb, pat, motion (rng and motion less so because i believe their guards have great OD)
b) ruled out -- li, lp, isos, base, princeton (we will lose the inside battle for li or lp, i don't have a good feeling about the other 3
c) what effort they will probably use -- it will be close, so normal, don't see them crunching just to win 1 game
So it comes down to:
a) patient or push the ball
b) normal effort as we want to definitely win the game, it's a sure loss tie vs their nor, and if we crunch we won't be able to compete in next game too and give up on somehow outlasting the usa for home court in americas tourney
I choose patient over ptb because:
a) overall I think they are stronger, with HCA and DMI on their side -- if effort is even we need help to win
b) the biggest chance we have to score is at SF -- if I use our SF in SF slot, the SG will hoist most shots, and I don't like that matchup as I think their guards have great OD
c) so, knowing they have a PF at SF, they have 2 guards and 3 bigs
d) lets use 2 guards and 3 bigs with the SG on offense at SF, SF on offense at SG (someone with OK JS, JR, HA, PA) and hope our SG at SF spot goes for 50+ points
Deciding on our lineup:
a) SG with best combo of GS, DMI, JS, JR, DR, IS for patient = Koszakov
b) our PF and C were givens most weeks
PG x x x
SG x x x
SF Koszakov x x
PF Curley x x
C Mughal x x
If we want to win, our backup SG at SF also needs to put up points for the 12-16 minutes he'll be on the court. With Teschow at GS7 and ruled out, the next best option to score there is Pavliuk. This means pulling him out of normal PG duties, but good thing Westbury is GS9 and with highest OD on the team so slow opponents down, and even PA with Pavliuk, it won't hurt our flow at all.
PG Westbury x x
SG x x x
SF Koszakov Pavliuk x
PF Curley x x
C Mughal x x
This leaves one starter, our SF at SG. Grimes beats Avila out on GS, DMI, JS, and JR, so on offense at SG it makes sense to start Grimes.
But wait, playing them at SG means not being able to use them in the normal 3 position big man starter-backup-reserve rotation I like to use. And Ringenier with his awesome secondaries and team high TSP even beats out Grimes. At SG on offense only I go with Ringenier, bumping Avila down to 3rd spot and using him in the big man rotation. Their bigs look formidable, so rather than a-b-c at PF and d-e-f at C I want to use Curley and Mughal in 2 slots (a-b-a) and (d-e-d).
I wanted to switch Curley onto their C who is the bigger scorer, as Curley beats Mughal by 1 on ID. So I'll match up Avila with Mughal to defend at PF. Cockayne comes in as the other big backup. The lineup is starting to really take shape.
PG Westbury x x
SG Ringenier Grimes Avila (SF on D)
SF Koszakov Pavliuk x (SG on D)
PF Curley Cockayne Curley (C on D)
C Mughal Avila Mughal (PF on D)
Strachan is a real step down from Westbury at PG, and with Pavliuk just backing up SG at SF, I really want to get him more minutes. Pav into backup PG as well.
PG Westbury Pavliuk Strachan
SG Ringenier Grimes Avila (SF on D)
SF Koszakov Pavliuk x (SG on D)
PF Curley Cockayne Curley (C on D)
C Mughal Avila Mughal (PF on D)
Busch who had been on the team all year as a 20 year old unfortunately wouldn't be a fantastic patient option, even as the 3rd SG at SF. I call up Auger (JS 15 JR 12) as the reserve. I also like the OD combo of Westbury and Pavliuk at PG to defend the opponent's SG rather than PG, so I make that switch too.
PG Westbury Pavliuk Strachan (SG on D)
SG Ringenier Grimes Avila (SF on D)
SF Koszakov Pavliuk Auger (PG on D)
PF Curley Cockayne Curley (C on D)
C Mughal Avila Mughal (PF on D)
Last edited by U21 CAN Cletus at 1/18/2016 4:03:39 PM