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How predictive is the box score of players in the draft pool?

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From: JohnnyB

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120715.4 in reply to 120715.3
Date: 12/3/2009 4:16:34 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
343343
In my draft i have 2 players 5 stars, and no other data. box score was the the only thing that is separating those is the box score. I put the 1 who is played better above the other.

About the FT. Is easily fixable. Every season u have to train once stamina and once FT. My atrocious 21 y/o C when he was 18, now has 4.

From: Trixter

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120715.5 in reply to 120715.4
Date: 12/3/2009 8:00:18 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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Yes we all use boxscore when we dont have any other info, and even when we have, if I have 2 b+ players with same potential same position i'd look at the box score to separeate.
But does anyone know if it is at all reliable?

From: DoG

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120715.6 in reply to 120715.5
Date: 12/3/2009 9:25:04 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1616
depends on the stat - for big men i look at assists and 3 FG attempted and made - for me those 2 are reliable indicators (I like big men with passing skills and range)

From: Rice

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120715.7 in reply to 120715.1
Date: 12/4/2009 1:28:18 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
11
Even without that ridiculous box score, i would take the 2nd guy. A 3 star potential is at best an all-star, so i would rather risk taking the other guy, imagine if he's a hall of fame or more realistically MVP, you just hit the jackpot! I don't have experience if the box score is very reliable, but im relying on it this year..

Goodluck..

From: uvaman9

To: Rice
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120715.8 in reply to 120715.7
Date: 12/4/2009 2:07:09 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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Thanks, I think that's pretty much the strategy I'm going to go with. I got real unlucky considering the players that were scouted twice had a 3 ball potential at best, so it makes it difficult to ensure that I'll get a player who I'll be able to train a lot, etc. Still, if I end up with a guy with announcer potential as my 1st round pick...that'll be a bummer.

From: CrazyEye

To: Rice
This Post:
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120715.10 in reply to 120715.7
Date: 12/5/2009 8:28:17 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
Even without that ridiculous box score, i would take the 2nd guy. A 3 star potential is at best an all-star, so i would rather risk taking the other guy, imagine if he's a hall of fame or more realistically MVP, you just hit the jackpot! I don't have experience if the box score is very reliable, but im relying on it this year..

Goodluck..


i would only use the boxscore as tie breaker for "similiar" players, it is hard to get some information out of. Some guys in germany collected a bit one season, but the data wasn't very usefull.

I would go for number one, he is 18 and has a solid potential(above average when you follow the other thread here). Even when he has an petty early pick, and so better chanches to get still an top player.

This Post:
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120715.11 in reply to 120715.1
Date: 12/5/2009 5:17:31 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
I just want to give an example, how random the boxscores are:

FG: 8-13 | 2-13
3Pt: 1-4 | 2-2
FT: 0-0 | 0-0
off. Reb: 1 | 5
Reb total: 2 | 9
Ass: 2 | 9
TO: 3 | 5
Steals: 2 | 0
PF: 0 | 0
Pts: 17 | 6

This is most likely the same player, very high and rare potential a +/- in grade same position and age. The first value is the stats line from my game, the second one is the stats line from the opposition.

From: uvaman9

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120715.12 in reply to 120715.9
Date: 12/5/2009 5:32:30 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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Haha, I'll be sure to think long and hard before I take any advice from you ;)

However, I'm really disappointed with the quality of scouting for this draft...I know it's all random and I just got unlucky, but I didn't pour money into scouting all season to end up with a ton of 1 and 2 ball potential guys...really disappointing.

I'll keep an eye on your draft picks and I'm sure that you'll do the same with me since it's looking like we might establish a bit of a rivalry as soon as next season ;)

This Post:
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120715.13 in reply to 120715.12
Date: 12/6/2009 5:57:48 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
4343
having a lot of 1-2 ball isn't all bad!
you have a good idea of how you don't want to pick...

i agree it's frustrating though....

This Post:
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120715.14 in reply to 120715.13
Date: 12/7/2009 11:39:33 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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There's a guy on my draft list who's a 5-star A-minus 18-year-old SG with 3 ball potential. However, in his box score he missed all 8 shots he took from the field, two of those from 3-point range. Should I rank him below a 5-star PG who's only been scouted once but who had an excellent box score?

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