in the first post there is asumed the opponent will play a certain order of normal and CTs.
What makes us think everyone will follow that strategy?
I think there will be a large variety of paterns managers might follow. Heck, I even changed mine for only 1 game more than 3 times in the last day before the game was played!
If for instance your opponent had to CT in his previous round to be sure to win (and that's lickely if it took 3 games!), you should NEVER CT in your first game if you have high enthousiasm.
This is why:
If he CT -ed his last game his max enthousiasm will be 6 (or maybe 7). If yours is 10, then you should have enough with normal, and even with TIE you make good chance of winning. Why should one waste his high level with CT in a situation like this?
In the scenario the first poster said it will be the best way, but fact is there is no way every opponent is going to follow this pattern. It's much more complicated than to say there is 1 winning theory.
In a way most managers will have to gamble, and if one gambles wrong....
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