Ofcourse I'm going to play TIE, this is not my concern.
I'm concerned about what if I win, then I'll go to the next round, which will be played on the Saturday following this match. I wouldn't give a damn if I thought I didn't stand a chance versus this guy, but having monitored him lately I think I stand a pretty good chance of making it into the 2nd round of the playoffs.
If I play my best team in both matches, they'll get way too many minutes for their game shapes to be good the week after that. I'm not concerning my decision on how I'll perform during the 1st round in the playoffs, more of what comes after.