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draftees' average potential

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From: Tesse
This Post:
00
120707.44 in reply to 120707.43
Date: 12/4/2009 4:52:09 AM
Cruesli
DBA Pro A
Overall Posts Rated:
530530
Second Team:
The Milk
6 scouted twice

2.18 average. None higher than 3.

4 balls: 2 scouted, average 2.0
3 balls: 3 scouted, avergae 2,33
2 balls: 1 scouted, "average" 2,00

Numbers too small to conclude anything.


Crunchy! If you eat fast enough
This Post:
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120707.45 in reply to 120707.44
Date: 12/4/2009 8:05:09 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
289289
10 players scouted twice with an average potential of 2.8 balls.

5 Balls X2
4 Balls X1
3 Balls X2
2 Balls X3
1 Ball X2

This Post:
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120707.46 in reply to 120707.45
Date: 12/4/2009 8:53:57 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
66
15 players scouted twice:

5 Balls x1
4 Balls x3
3 Balls x3
2 Balls x6
1 Ball x2

=> 2,66 average

From: Exos
This Post:
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120707.47 in reply to 120707.46
Date: 12/4/2009 10:24:45 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
My average is 1.78, but i think at least the one-time-scouted boys should have decent potential.

This Post:
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120707.48 in reply to 120707.1
Date: 12/4/2009 12:35:14 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
155155
I would personally be most interested in the distribution that the average. For example, if you scouted 1000 players, how many should you expect to have 3 potential and how many would you expect to have 5?

Run of the Mill Canadian Manager
This Post:
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120707.49 in reply to 120707.48
Date: 12/4/2009 11:56:06 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1515
Not only that, but is there a different distribution for each star rating? It seems that from the 3 or 4 examples I have seen, a 5 star rated player is more likely to have a high potential than a 1 star rated player.

This Post:
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120707.50 in reply to 120707.49
Date: 12/5/2009 3:29:55 AM
Aussie Pride
ABBL
Overall Posts Rated:
544544
I've been having some similar thoughts . I havn't seen many examples of 5 potential guys that are 3 stars or under.

Last edited by aussie dude at 12/5/2009 3:30:40 AM

This Post:
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120707.51 in reply to 120707.50
Date: 12/5/2009 3:35:22 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
11
I have three guys scouted twice with 5-ball rating and their potential is 1-ball, 2-ball and 3-ball...
Maybe I'm just unlucky...

This Post:
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120707.52 in reply to 120707.51
Date: 12/5/2009 5:30:10 AM
Aussie Pride
ABBL
Overall Posts Rated:
544544
Yeah there might be nothing in my thinking probably a player is given a random star rating then a random potential on top of the star rating.

This Post:
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120707.53 in reply to 120707.1
Date: 12/5/2009 11:30:53 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
I got 2.14 average. Very nice work!

This Post:
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120707.54 in reply to 120707.53
Date: 12/5/2009 1:18:21 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
5656
I got 2.14 average. Very nice work!


35/14=2.5 Great Work :)

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