Well you should also consider that he is playing in Div.5, while your scouting was made for Div.4. I would assume that it's easier to get bot-promoted from div.5 to div.4 then it is from div.4 to div.3, because there tend to be more committed players in higher divisions.After a bit of reasearch in Italy's div.5, for example, I've found that last season many teams were bot-promoted with a 19-3 record.