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Playoffs or 5th Place?

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From: Kukoc

To: 7ton
This Post:
11
214533.45 in reply to 214533.41
Date: 4/22/2012 6:27:13 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
13361336
Expected value of making 3rd/4th (as opposed to 5th)
You negate the fact that "tanking" for 5th spot usually lowers your this seasons income. Seldom teams end up at the 5th with noone else wanting it. We know that good record overall and winning away games, gives you a pretty big bonus, over teams who opt to lose. Well I have never ended up 5th. But I have experience of being the last a few seasons ago. My arena income was constantly dropping. II.div was a disaster considering arena income, although I finished with 22-0 record. This season my arena income has been rising, but not having the same amount of season ticket holders, I still can't match the first incomes I had when promoting the last time. So if getting a better spot in standings adds more STH-s. I would opt for the best spot I can reach, instead of losing about 50k a week (and more adding up over the season) to tank for 5th, to maximize the STH thus increasing income max and "salary cap" leverage.
There are a lot of different teams out there, some still sell players before playoffs (even if they make it), for the "higher transfer value". So shooting out some plain averages is not really acceptable research.

From: Eagle

This Post:
00
214533.46 in reply to 214533.16
Date: 4/23/2012 1:45:45 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
8989

I see your point and it makes sense, but I guess, well, I am stubborn/stupid that way.

Message deleted
From: 7ton

This Post:
00
214533.48 in reply to 214533.45
Date: 4/23/2012 10:23:12 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
4545
Sure I never claim my calculation to be perfect. I would appreciate if smart people like you can improve it.

From: Kukoc

To: 7ton
This Post:
00
214533.49 in reply to 214533.48
Date: 4/23/2012 12:49:38 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
13361336
There are too many variables and not enough overall info to base the calculation on. BB's have the most accurate info, why people choose to ignore their sayings is bizarre...

From: Stajan

This Post:
11
214533.51 in reply to 214533.50
Date: 4/23/2012 7:24:23 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
146146
Sorry, users should blindly believe what the BBs say when all evidence points the other way?

I think 100% of managers would say 2-3 is completely broken or doesn't work as intended (if you don't, you're wrong, and that is a fact). Also the matter of shot blocking and a bunch of other stuff.

From: CrazyEye

This Post:
11
214533.53 in reply to 214533.51
Date: 4/24/2012 3:24:30 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
959959
is ee 2-3 quite often in nt games, also succesful and i play it also quite a lot with succes.

So 100% of managers are not a fact, like the fact you are stating.

From: Stajan
This Post:
00
214533.55 in reply to 214533.54
Date: 4/25/2012 5:00:29 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
146146
My chance at finishing 5th is gone, so I've got a new question.

Better financially, a one game playoff series loss (1/3 attendance revenue) vs. a three game relegation series win (2/3 attendance + 1/3 attendance + 2/3 attendance)?

My thinking is that a relegation series is better financially. Your attendance revenue will probably be the same next season and you pocket extra revenue through the 3 relegation games. Any evidence that playoffs are better? This would be yet another thing that makes zero sense about this game.

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