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BuzzerBeater NBA Predictions > Hornets @ Trailblazers (11/28/2008)

Hornets @ Trailblazers (11/28/2008)

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This Post:
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61813.48 in reply to 61813.43
Date: 12/1/2008 6:56:28 PM
Molson Canadians
III.5
Overall Posts Rated:
9191
Right now, none of this is public (except that you can view one of the actual matches we simulated -- see the link in my first post in this thread). We may make some more information public in the future.

From: kaprons

This Post:
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61813.49 in reply to 61813.48
Date: 12/1/2008 7:08:31 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1616
i traied to get game stats, but no luck :D
just some old christams game : http://www.buzzerbeater.com/BBWeb/boxscore.aspx?MatchID=1000220
:D

This Post:
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61813.50 in reply to 61813.45
Date: 12/2/2008 10:30:11 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
kap suprast

From: oras

This Post:
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61813.51 in reply to 61813.50
Date: 12/2/2008 10:52:01 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
suprask tai taip. jei dar pora rungtyniu BB atspes reza, tai gali eiti ramiai stafkes daryti :)). ir siaip BB uzsikraus milijonus.

From: Audriusx

To: oras
This Post:
00
61813.52 in reply to 61813.51
Date: 12/2/2008 11:02:18 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
aaaaaaaaaaa.aisku

This Post:
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61813.53 in reply to 61813.52
Date: 12/3/2008 3:56:42 PM
1986 Celtics
IV.21
Overall Posts Rated:
88
So we have geared up to do these simulations on a wider basis, made some tweaks to the engine to make the pattern of fouling/being fouled more like the nba and tuned to individual players... so now we have to retune the engine to play realistic basketball again. But just for fun, given where the game engine stands now.. and I want to emphasize that I don't think the game engine is truly optimized at this point, i did a test sim on tonights Lakers/76ers game. In short, the simulations show the lakers winning ~75% of the time, with an average margin of ~7 points. Thaddeus Young leading scoring for the Sixers (>20 points), Kobe obviously for the Lakers (~30 or more) ... Elton Brand and Andrew Iguodala held to a below average game. If Philly wins it will be because someone unexpected broke out and scored in a big way... most likely Willie Green.

Last edited by BB-Forrest at 12/3/2008 3:58:23 PM

This Post:
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61813.54 in reply to 61813.53
Date: 12/3/2008 6:09:13 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
137137
How do you guys determine the skills levels of individual players? Is it a judgment call or are you feeding their statistics into a program and it spits out their skills?

Steve

This Post:
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61813.55 in reply to 61813.54
Date: 12/3/2008 6:14:00 PM
1986 Celtics
IV.21
Overall Posts Rated:
88
well that is changing on a daily basis.. like i said last time was a mix of stats and judgement... im trying to move to an all stats system, but i haven't perfected it yet... it might not be possible. this philly/LA comes from the all stats approach.

Last edited by BB-Forrest at 12/3/2008 6:14:49 PM

From: BB-Mark
This Post:
00
61813.56 in reply to 61813.53
Date: 12/3/2008 9:48:19 PM
Molson Canadians
III.5
Overall Posts Rated:
9191
THIS IS ACTUALLY FROM BB-FORREST NOT MARK..

so as i suspected our prediction is only about 75% of the way there.... tonights LA/Philly game ended up 114/102.. which is about the same proportional margin as i predicted, but a higher pace. In general the scoring was much more balanced than the simulation... Kobe was the highest scorer though with over 30, Brand was limited severely, Iggy had an OK/kinda good night. Thaddeus Young didnt really break out though..

Looks like everybody is just a little too good defensively in the simulation... gotta make for some more exciting basketball... but its promising..

Last edited by BB-Forrest at 12/3/2008 9:49:23 PM

This Post:
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61813.57 in reply to 61813.53
Date: 12/4/2008 12:16:30 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
aisku

This Post:
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61813.58 in reply to 61813.57
Date: 12/4/2008 3:08:11 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
i personnally expect portland to lose, but greg oden will still get 30 + points.

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