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1st seed team plays at home: 0 matches against stronger teams, 4 matches against weaker teams
2nd seed team plays at home: 0 matches against stronger teams, 3 matches against weaker teams
3th seed team plays at home: 1 match against a stronger team, 3 matches against weaker teams
4th seed team plays at home: 1 match against a stronger team, 2 matches against weaker teams
5th seed team plays at home: 2 matches against stronger teams, 1 match against a weaker team
6th seed team plays at home: 3 matches against stronger teams, 1 match against a weaker team
7th seed team plays at home: 3 matches against stronger teams, 0 matches against weaker teams
8th seed team plays at home: 4 matches against stronger teams, 0 matches against weaker teams

It goes like 4-3-3-2-1-1-0-0 both ways up or down.

It's then easy to count that out of 28 games, in 14 games the stronger team is "home" and vice-versa.

But you seem pretty convinced in your posts so I don't know if I had not make a mistake counting this.

Last edited by PunkFloid at 11/11/2009 5:47:47 PM

That's why I have made statistics for matches where the difference was 10 points and less, because that shows evenly matched teams.

you should be a lot more certain than that 1st seed will beat the 8th seed than that the 5th seed will beat the 6th seed.

But you can never be certain about this. Nor even in cup games...

So what I really meant was that for cup games, it's actually a random draw and guaranteed to end up at 50% if everything works correctly, while for NT games there is probably some bias since it's not random.

It's not random and therefore there can be no bias whatsoever!

But OK, if you are sure there is no mistake, we can end this discussion.

Last edited by PunkFloid at 11/12/2009 6:49:14 AM

But OK, if you are sure there is no mistake, we can end this discussion.

Fine by me. I guess the answer to explanation to your results is 3), sample is just a little too small.

Thanks for the effort though. Another BB Myth solved!

Last edited by BB-Patrick at 11/12/2009 9:27:12 AM