I am also wondering about the chances of promoting out of D V USA with a 21-1 record (+758). I am in a similar position to OP except that my opponent is stronger (20-2 +690) and my second highest salary player is injured. Still, I have a good enthusiasm advantage and enough depth to overcome the injury, and I would put my odds of winning the first game at around 75-25.
My tentative plan is to wait and see how the first game goes, and if I win by a comfortable margin (15+ ?), then I will throw the second game. However if my promotion is pretty much guaranteed based on record, it might be worth throwing the second game with a narrower margin of victory in the first.
It might be worth noting that I already have 600k saved for next season (before promotion bonus and finals revenue) so the extra money won't make a big difference, and getting promoted is a much larger priority.
Last edited by hu4rollz at 5/8/2012 3:12:48 PM