Still You don't understand simple things. Future can NOT be fact ;-) Only past ;-)
He has never played match in NT before / he played few matches in NT - these sentences ARE facts.
He has no chance to play in NT in future / he has chance to play in NT in future - these sentences are NOT facts, they are only opinions, assumption ;-)
Penalty for opinions is crazy. I don't know how it works in Japan but in whole civilized world nobody can be penalized because of his opinions.