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Transfer List gone bad!

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113510.63 in reply to 113510.62
Date: 10/4/2009 1:26:17 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
196196
but what is of most importance here?

training successfully / managing minutes / winning matches OR predicting the value of players in 12 months from now?

dont get me wrong I like to see movement in player prices and hope that 6/10 or more I can forecast it correctly in order to capitalize from it....

just cant help feeling the markets are a bit like musical chairs at the moment with anyone that cant buy who they want saving and saving and you just know there are going to be some managers splashing out top dollar in the not too distant future and then BOOM.. a BB news announcement which will loosely translate to 'player prices will be coming down again'

its quite scary/exciting to calculate that your players could be increasing in value quite dramatically with or without training and also with the early percentage sell on always inching closer to the 97% base.

with lots of teams making $200k + a week now I think we could still be at the beginning of this current inflationary trend - next fun part will be 'when the music stops' how many of us will go rushing out to dump 2-3 of our current roster and then wait to buy back again cheaper after the dust settles :D

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This Post:
00
113510.64 in reply to 113510.63
Date: 10/4/2009 3:37:03 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
1010
just cant help feeling the markets are a bit like musical chairs at the moment with anyone that cant buy who they want saving and saving and you just know there are going to be some managers splashing out top dollar in the not too distant future and then BOOM.. a BB news announcement which will loosely translate to 'player prices will be coming down again'


An announcement in this direction is the one about the return of free agents... that should increase the supply of players in the market (I think especially low and average value players... too bad I just spent my money on that kind of player...). So I guess you were definitely right, a not too distant future: right now.

Last edited by giona at 10/4/2009 4:52:37 AM

This Post:
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113510.65 in reply to 113510.64
Date: 10/4/2009 6:33:35 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
6565
still i cant see there are enough of free agents to make an impact on the market which is not bad at all. the market should adjust itself, i think it is way too early to make major adjustments at the moment.

This Post:
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113510.66 in reply to 113510.65
Date: 10/4/2009 10:51:54 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
77
A view from the bottom,
Seeing that most of this thread content is from managers that have high level teams I felt I should post the view from a IV league manager. I started midway last season and managed to win the league against mostly bot teams. Learning the game from week to week and making lots of mistakes. I really like the game and spend most of the time perusing the TL as that is my typical modus operandi. As all of you I noticed that the prices took a huge jump from last season and find it nearly impossible to find players that are at all decent that I can afford. Unlike many of you who have more than 200,000 dollars in profit, I can make maybe 40,000 a week. This, of course, means I can not afford very much ( I have saved approximately 500,000) and am barely competitive in my league. I have resorted to "throwing" games in the hope that I can stay at level IV while I train my prospects to decent levels. The problem I have seen in the NEWS section is that many of my competitors have been able to sell players for over 1.4 million dollars (crappy ones) and purchase players for that or higher levels. This causes an imbalance in the league and makes it very unlikely that no matter how much I "manage" my team if another team can purchase their way to the top, I will have no way of winning. I have no illusion that BB is a short term win but it is very difficult for me to get my mind around the idea that I will very likely never have a chance to succeed given the current economic climate. That being said I really love the game and the great work put into it.

This Post:
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113510.67 in reply to 113510.66
Date: 10/4/2009 10:59:20 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
6565
you cant be so pessimistic about it. most of us has been in the same situation and as long as you keep doing the right moves, your team will improve. changes on the market will help some of your rivals but it will hurt others as well. so just work on your team, train efficiently, sell at right price and that's all you can control. it is not easy to level up each year, even when you can it might not be the best thing.

we will see how many free agents will be put on the market but i believe the effect will be psychological rather than being on an economical basis.

This Post:
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113510.68 in reply to 113510.66
Date: 10/4/2009 1:50:50 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
224224
The problem I have seen in the NEWS section is that many of my competitors have been able to sell players for over 1.4 million dollars (crappy ones) and purchase players for that or higher levels.

Apparently, they're either not selling players that are this crappy, or not buying players that are this good, because the two can't work at the same time.

This causes an imbalance in the league and makes it very unlikely that no matter how much I "manage" my team if another team can purchase their way to the top, I will have no way of winning.

Purchasing the right players is quite clearly part of managing your team, so I don't see how you can manage without going on the transfer market.

Either way, you're supposed to raise money by training and selling players, not from your weekly profit. So if you can't do this, there's something you're not doing quite right.


"I don't know half of you half as well as I should like; and I like less than half of you half as well as you deserve."
This Post:
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113510.69 in reply to 113510.67
Date: 10/4/2009 1:50:58 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
77
Thanks LA,
After writing the first post I took the time to look at the other teams in the league in finer detail. It seems all but one has "paid their dues" by being in the game a number of years, so it makes sense they would have the money and the high priced players. Also they have been relegated out of III back to IV so it makes sense they should have more resources this time around. I need to be more patient and smarter and reading great threads like this one help me immensely. Thanks again.

This Post:
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113510.70 in reply to 113510.67
Date: 10/5/2009 12:43:58 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
1010
we will see how many free agents will be put on the market but i believe the effect will be psychological rather than being on an economical basis.


Well, so it's a useless change? Don't you think that (crowd) psychology has a __real__ impact in a system that by the way is not that big? Last week some people were so confused that they did not move on the market, because they were not confident at all in any prediction. Players were sold at high prizes, but if you sell to improve your team, after a sale you want to buy. Then you have to face the fact that some players were extremely scarce on the market and expensive... so scarce that even one-two additional players of that level per week could change things.

This Post:
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113510.71 in reply to 113510.67
Date: 10/5/2009 5:51:10 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
409409

we will see how many free agents will be put on the market but i believe the effect will be psychological rather than being on an economical basis.


While economy is not psychology, economic models does take in consideration some "psycological" effects. This will affect the expectations, that like the economist Robert Lucas noticed, play a very important role in aggregate behavior.

This Post:
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113510.72 in reply to 113510.68
Date: 10/7/2009 2:09:23 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
Let me give you a simple example of why you system is completly flawed , you have not considered that starting point of new clubs.

Whilst you say there is an increase in money, this is true during the game, week by week, even thoughit is not comparible to the amount players prices have increased.

Where it is not true is when you get a new team, you get the same $300,000 plus a few weekly extras. In simple terms , a new team used to be able to buy Average to Respectable ratings on players at the age of between 18 - 20, now we have to buy inept to average rated players as a starting point to build a team. This is because we can no linger afford the players like last season, surely you should have increased the amount of money given to start up teams upon signing up to your game to compensate for the massive growth in the market.

The only teams that can afford these prices are teams that have been in the game for a few seasons, yet they didnt start off with this disability we now have, players were cheaper back then.

You even recognis the problem by your new bulletin about bring retired players back into the market, this is to soak up money and try and spread the pricing over the market place. I feel you know ou have created an issue, but are yet to understand just how bad you have made it.

You will cost yourself new people signing up, as the game takes to long to truly become even a bottom ladder team in, you need to consider that people play this for fun, and even the startegic challenge, however, they dont want it to turn into a complete business operation to make it work, where we are playing catch up all the time to the teams that were here before, whilst naturally they would be more porgressed, you have created an even greater divide.

I also think you should consider that, none of the GM's are hurt by this action, they are all long establsihed teams with large financial pockets, but we are tyring to tell you that us smaller clubs are getting seriosuly hurt by the choices you have made.

From: ned
This Post:
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113510.73 in reply to 113510.47
Date: 10/26/2009 5:09:55 PM
Freccia Azzurra
IV.18
Overall Posts Rated:
823823
Second Team:
Slaytanic
And yes, we will continue to monitor the situation


Ciao Forrest, if you can answer, do you think the prices are decreased or increased since last month?

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