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Injury Time

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143072.7 in reply to 143072.6
Date: 5/8/2010 7:45:59 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
Well he was injured on the 16th of April (23 days ago). Now does that mean that the time of the injury has to be 3 weeks? Which would mean a possible injury time of 21 days to 27.99 days right? So that means that he has to be healed in the next 6 days is that right?

This Post:
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143072.8 in reply to 143072.7
Date: 5/9/2010 2:48:52 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
9696
I don't think you can calculate it like that.

This is the way how I THINK it goes:

player has x week injury. Next dayly update the system checks for injuryadaption: the chance the number goes down = formula which holds a random factor and the days since change.
each day the change it drops is getting bigger, until it drops and then you start over until you reach 0.
BB probably has programmed it so that it is likely it will get to 0 on day 7, but you can't tell.

An example:
a 3 week injury. on day 1 chances are practically 0 he will heal, same on days 2 and 3, on day 4 chances get bigger but still small, on day 5 and day 6 chances keep increasing, but still no healing. day 7 chances are good he heals a week, but you are unlucky and the random factor makes him stay at the same amount. You are even more unlucky and day 8 still no change. Chances are pretty high he will heal on day 9, but you won the lotery in the wrong way, no healing. On day 10 you get lucky (heh, what is called lucky, you should be VERY unfortunate not to see him healed, but I think it's still possible).
If this repeats itself, you only get him back after 30 days.
The other scenario is that you are so lucky he heals every 5 days and you get him back after 15 days.

Most cases will happen in between, but nobody can tell what happens if you get REALY unlucky. I don't know if there even is a limit on the max of days a "week" can hold, or that chances of healing just keep going up but never reach 100%, and you might get an exceptional case where 1 week lasts like 30 days... (however I don't think that's the case, logically speaking they will have limited it at some number, but nobody knows which)

So theorethically and averagely speaking you can say yes: a 3 week injury will last between x and y days. But in reality, you can never be sure.

They are not your friends; they dispise you. I am the only one you can count on. Trust me.
This Post:
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143072.9 in reply to 143072.8
Date: 5/9/2010 11:38:36 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
ah okay interesting. There is a simple way to check :P
Have you ever seen a player who has had a 1 week injury last longer than 14 days? (Directed to anyone).
Or a player with a 2 week injury healed quicker than 14 days?
Or anything like this?

This Post:
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143072.10 in reply to 143072.9
Date: 5/10/2010 7:56:16 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
9696
I forgot to mention that the doctor-level is also in the formulla.

and yes I had a player heal quicker then 14 days with a 2 week injury, I got him back after 13 days (had a level 4 doctor at that time).

14 days for 1 week will be very rare as chances he heals will by then be very high. Yet we can't tell for sure nobody in the BB world has ever had it (not everyone keeps track closely enough to determine precise dates and such), and even IF it never happened before, we can not be sure it's impossible.
But since chances will be so low that it will ever happen, we can assume it won't, but asuming doesn't mean we can be absolutely sure...


They are not your friends; they dispise you. I am the only one you can count on. Trust me.
This Post:
00
143072.11 in reply to 143072.10
Date: 5/10/2010 9:13:33 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
522522
Haha okay. Well my player is back :D so this suggestion can be scrapped :P