BuzzerBeater Forums

It is in Marin's drawer, i don't have the keys!

“The explanation requiring the fewest assumptions is most likely to be correct.”

Fundamentally very little was added with Utopia. Changing fan survey or finding a way to identify tankers, is more complex.

Agreed. Expanding existing processes to include one more nation, plus the second team processes are all pretty much straightforward technical changes. They still require planning and foresight and are still of course prone to have errors in development, but it's simply a technical issue. When it comes to something like rebalancing the fan survey, the technical portion of it is relatively simple - change parameters here, maybe another calculation there - but coming up with the actual design behind it, trying to find the right balance that targets people who are intentionally tanking and not those who simply are teams behind the talent curve because of team age or new promotions is a significant challenge. Finding some way to quantify "I know it when I see it" is pretty much the lot in life for technical folks. ;)

The OP, maddoghellas, sees it:

c) the horizontal salary floor raise, by definition, will also punish the teams that play the game and remain fully competitive while keeping the salaries and expenses low, hence maintaining financially healthy and long lasting teams.

Here’s how it affects Knecht:

I have two teams in my league that are fighting for promotion, ~2-3 treadmilling teams and ~12-14 bots/bottom feeders. Now I am forced to spend more, which changes absolutely nothing. I lose to the good teams by the same and beat the bots by an even bigger margin.

Here’s another manager’s experience:

Last season, I managed to make it to the finals with my payroll below the salary floor. With some players up and down in their salaries, my salary total remained same after the preseason update and I will be paying $30.000 each week basically for nothing

Phyr sees it:

If I have a super salary-efficient team that is able to compete in my league, the salary floor punishes those teams too.

There's a problem here. It’s part of the job of the authorities to defend the changes that have been made. So what is their defense? Let’s look at that in another post.

Their defense of raising the salary floor is … the new manager has 16 weeks to (1) build his arena, (2) acquire players, (3) train up players, and (4) get a promotion bonus. (5) Plus now each new team gets an all-star potential trainee. (6) They (the veterans) could do it so anyone can do it. (7) So it’s a “perceived problem.”

Point by point … (1) building his arena doesn’t add players or raise salaries, so it doesn’t help against the salary floor. (2) Effectively acquiring players in this hyper-inflated Transfer Market is nigh unto impossible, certainly an unrealistic expectation of a new manager when even so many veteran managers are voicing their complaints about the hyper-inflation. (3) Training up players takes several seasons at least to get significant results, and requires expenditure on staff. (4) ONE manager in a league gets a promotion bonus; no help for the rest. (5) The new all-star trainee doesn’t create a better competitive position against other teams with their own all-star trainee, and he cannot be trained up in just 16 weeks. (6) It is true that a new manager who does everything right can succeed, even with the increased salary floor – how many of them are that skilled right off the bat? (7) I won’t even dignify that with an answer.

Let’s not hear any more “...as my economy grew ... after another promotion ...” etc. The new manager isn’t given that amount of time to learn to do things right. Let’s look honestly at the pros and cons of this change.


Last edited by Mike Franks at 2/23/2016 9:49:20 PM

I think the best way to go about it would be to actually study tankers' behavior right now, this season. Easier said than done I know, but that could actually provide a reasonable estimation of weekly negative PD.

I'm a "tanker" in the context of this discussion. I don't deliberately lose, just straddle the salary floor to maximize profit. This season is the first time I've been above the floor, and I've never missed a playoff. Last season, I was a certainty to promote, until I lost the semi final in overtime after losing a key player at the start of the second half.

I make $190k while being competitive (without trying) in div3. I shouldn't be allowed to, but I would fly under the radar in that scenario.

(6) It is true that a new manager who does everything right can succeed, even with the increased salary floor – how many of them are that skilled right off the bat? (7) I won’t even dignify that with an answer.

The salary floor percentages changed as follows (as a percentage of TV revenue)
I: 180% to 210%
II: 140% to 170%
III: 100% to 130%
IV: 80% to 100%
lower: 60% to 80%

I think it's more than fair to say that people in small countries face special challenges here. A new team that ends up in a mostly-full and veteran I with no II to fall into.

I also think that for most "new" players, the increase from 80% to 100% or even 100% to 130% is inconsequential - using my III in the USA as an estimate, the 30% increase in the salary floor is a little less than 27k/week, which comes out to a maximum change in position of just over 400k (a maximum of 15 salary-paying weeks where the floor applies).

Now, let's look at what the actual situation is in III, for a team at the salary floor. Merchandise plus TV contract revenues are pretty much sufficient to entirely cover the new salary floor at this level, leaving gate receipts as profit, minus the cost of staff and scouting (if that's spent on). It's hardly crippling to this class of new teams.

No, the main complaint isn't from new teams who are finding this onerous, though there are of course always those who are confused by the way the floor is reported and looks like it's being charged when it's not actually being asssessed the first 16 weeks. The complaints instead are pretty much teams who are already established, who are having the amount of money they can bank season over season cut into, mostly because they are in a country where there's little enough competition that it's been easy to be insanely profitable and still moderately successful with barebones salaries.

It never ceases to amaze me, though, how there are apparently so many crippling problems punishing new teams, and of course we know this because there is a lot of noise from some managers, none of whom really fit the description of new manager. Of course, this is likely because in the grand scheme of things, a 20-30k/week change does not make any significant detrimental impact, but of course an actual sober analysis of the impact iof the changes isn't always the agenda.

No, the main complaint isn't from new teams who are finding this onerous, though there are of course always those who are confused by the way the floor is reported and looks like it's being charged when it's not actually being asssessed the first 16 weeks. The complaints instead are pretty much teams who are already established, who are having the amount of money they can bank season over season cut into, mostly because they are in a country where there's little enough competition that it's been easy to be insanely profitable and still moderately successful with barebones salaries.

It never ceases to amaze me, though, how there are apparently so many crippling problems punishing new teams, and of course we know this because there is a lot of noise from some managers, none of whom really fit the description of new manager. Of course, this is likely because in the grand scheme of things, a 20-30k/week change does not make any significant detrimental impact, but of course an actual sober analysis of the impact iof the changes isn't always the agenda.

It is of course the established managers that are vocal about this problem, as they have a better understanding of the game. There must be a reason that 99% of new managers never make it past the first 16 weeks and the huge gap between new and established teams is a HUGE reason.

A 20-30k cut coming hand in hand with much shorter cup runs, due to removed bot leagues makes a huge difference. Assuming that a newbie can build the stadium, add a coach, promote once or even twice, buy trainees and train them to a level where they heavily impact the salary, while at the same time learning the x and o's of the game, is a bit cocky and arrogant at least.

We have seen that user retention is horrible and making the game easier for new users is paramount. As I pointed out earlier, for me it makes no difference. I abuse bots/newbies and lose to more motivated managers, or teams that demoted and are going for instant re-promotion. Raising the floor for full leagues might be a good thing in the long run, but for half-full/empty leagues it fails its purpose.

I'd rather see some kind of punishment for teams that are on a losing streak, have a lot of savings and close to the salary floor. If you can squeeze those three variables into an equation, you have your cure for tanking. Teams that are salary efficient and can win games should not get punished.

Everybody saying contrary is either a communist or a hippie.