I understand all above, but I still think you are wrong.
You excluded 7 teams, but so far we are sure only the last 1 have to go out of list - because there's only 1 conference where 3rd plays 4th, so it is only sure that ONE (last ranked) team out from 64 (1st or 2nd) will not promote.
If on Saturday any more 3rd or 4th ranked team wins a conference, then you have to exclude the same number of teams counting from the bottom of your list of the teams that will advance FOR SURE.