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Most Important Facts About the Draft

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This Post:
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133998.9 in reply to 133998.8
Date: 3/9/2010 9:49:13 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
2323
got to agree with you there even if it is just for resale value later!

Last edited by Fella at 3/9/2010 9:49:36 PM

From: Xarn

This Post:
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133998.10 in reply to 133998.8
Date: 3/10/2010 3:13:42 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
3636
potential has got to be more important than age, who wants an 18 yo with bench warmer potential over a 19 yo with superstar potential



I suppose but I'm going to filter by age first then sort out the low potential guys.

From: Xarn

This Post:
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133998.11 in reply to 133998.8
Date: 3/10/2010 10:42:35 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
3636
potential has got to be more important than age, who wants an 18 yo with bench warmer potential over a 19 yo with superstar potential




So here's my "top" prospect to sort of illustrate my point.

PLayer #3 is 18 years old with a 5 ball rating and a 4 ball potential. He went 1-8 from the field (0-2 from 3) he went 3/4 from the line with 7 rebounds, 5 assists and 3 steals. If he would've been 19, he would've dropped below all of the "unknown" 5 ball rating/4 ball+ potential guys where I did not know their ages. My reasoning is that I'd rather take a chance on getting an 18 year old than be assured of getting a 19 year old. He would have, however, stayed on the draft board above all of the complete unknowns and the 18/19 year olds with less than 5 ball ratings/4 ball potentials.

Does that make sense?

Now let me offer my "common sense" thoughts on what I think I like about this kid and you guys might be willing to correct me if I"m wrong.

#1) good age, good rating, good enough potential
#2) his 1/8 from the field tells me that his js/jr aren't tops but I can train those.
#3) his 7 rebounds tells me that this kid actually has some decent rebounding skills - which, if I'm switching back to guard training his a huge boost.
#4) his 5 assists tells me that his passing is going to be mediocre-ish and very trainable.
#5) his 3 steals tells me the same thing about his passing


Is that a fair assessment of what this scouting report is telling me about this player?

From: Plotts

To: Xarn
This Post:
00
133998.12 in reply to 133998.11
Date: 3/10/2010 11:05:04 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
1111
1. Agreed, great pick.
2. Maybe, but do not read too much into box scores. That's one game, what if a great defender guarded him? Last night I held Corsetti to 3-17. If you saw that, you would think this guy sucks, but if you look at 10 games, you'd see that's an exception to the rule.
3. Yes, I would think at least med/ave/res/
4. maybe, it could be as low as inept, but not any lower. IMO
5. this is what I know about steals, OD and HN are the two biggest factors. George Braden led our league in steals this season, and those may or may not be two of his highest rated skills :)

So yeah, pretty fair job. DRAFT HIM!

From: russell123

To: Xarn
This Post:
00
133998.13 in reply to 133998.11
Date: 3/10/2010 7:10:43 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1111
yeah that make sense, but you actually are puting potential above age, you just didnt realize it, its only with players with close potential and performance that you put age over the other factors

From: Larelin
This Post:
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133998.14 in reply to 133998.13
Date: 3/10/2010 7:14:19 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1212
Goodbye Jurgen Hinterwerth... We Hardly Knew Ye..

All I did know is that YE FOULED too damn much.. That tends to KEEP YE on the bench during important games!

LOL

Not a bad price for him though.. bid is already double what I paid for him a few months ago..

From: Xarn

This Post:
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133998.15 in reply to 133998.13
Date: 3/10/2010 8:41:46 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
3636
yeah that make sense, but you actually are puting potential above age, you just didnt realize it, its only with players with close potential and performance that you put age over the other factors



No, not really. known 19 year olds go to the bottom of the list with the hopes of catching an 18 year old.

From: russell123

To: Xarn
This Post:
00
133998.16 in reply to 133998.15
Date: 3/10/2010 8:48:02 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
1111
oh i didnt know you meant all the way to the bottom

From: Xarn

This Post:
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133998.17 in reply to 133998.16
Date: 3/11/2010 5:05:23 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
3636
Well, underneath the highly talented 18 year olds and the unknowns. They are ranked ahead of the 18 year old known scrubs.

From: ulf1der

To: Xarn
This Post:
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133998.18 in reply to 133998.17
Date: 3/11/2010 7:13:05 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
00
Xarn: Do u have stats for all draftees?

IMO, no one answered the question :(

From: Xarn

This Post:
00
133998.19 in reply to 133998.18
Date: 3/11/2010 7:34:18 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
3636
Xarn: Do u have stats for all draftees?

IMO, no one answered the question :(



No. I have a "rating" on 19 players. I have a rating, grade, potential and age on 4 players. I invest 5k all season.

I answered it as best I could and I admit that my rationale may be flawed.

#1) Age - I want a kid who is 18 rather than 19.
#2) Potential - I want a kid who can be somebody
#3) Grade/Performance - I attempt to use the game line to determine if a player has strengths or weaknesses.

Additionally, I am a gambler. I will put all of my completely unkowns above anyone who is not 18 and doesn't have at least 4 balls of potential. That didn't work out for me so well last season which is why I went ahead and put in the 5k investment.

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