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Quarters disparity

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292818.11 in reply to 292818.9
Date: 3/22/2018 5:16:00 AM
Dynamo J. Hradec
První liga
Overall Posts Rated:
493493
I expected match with higher difference in your link, something like my match (97241715)

From: GM-hrudey

To: Siwy
This Post:
00
292818.12 in reply to 292818.8
Date: 3/22/2018 11:48:39 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
32293229
Not to mention that in BB it seems that hot streaks are coded. It's like getting heads again had 60% chances instead of 50%, so ridicuolously long series and comebacks are actually very probable.


Very hot streaks are somewhat common, and very cold streaks are pandemic.

This Post:
00
292818.13 in reply to 292818.9
Date: 3/22/2018 5:41:01 PM
Edson Rush
III.3
Overall Posts Rated:
262262
You have to be a very patient man to get 10 heads in a row.


You're right, but think how many thousands of games are played every Saturday or Tuesday in BB. Most games will play out predictably but some of these games will have very irregular results.

In any case, in a quarter there are much more than 10 shots. So according to the law of large numbers, this quarters disparity shouldn't happen.


The law only provides a guarantee for an infinite number of trials. When number of trials are large but not infinite, there is still a chance that the observed results do not match the expected results.

This Post:
00
292818.15 in reply to 292818.14
Date: 3/22/2018 8:22:20 PM
Edson Rush
III.3
Overall Posts Rated:
262262
Well it seems to be happening quite alot for you. I guess the best explanation would be the the GE has hot and cold runs programmed into it.