I don't care about Utopia, I really don't, and I wouldn't use it as an example of anything.
For me it seems that more long-time-manager leaving BB now (after the demotivating Micro-Nation-Debate) than in the last 5 years.
People have been leaving ever since I first signed up for the game. So it would be possible to argue that my arrival is why people are leaving. (Perpete might like that one.) I disagree however. I think there are many reasons people leave. I don't claim mergers will stop people leaving. I'm not convinced anything will.
So, truly it´s a fact, that nobody can say what will happen ... but many manager say so ... especially the loud ones ;-)
Can't argue with that at all. I actually started looking at factual numbers of people leaving just because people were speaking so loudly. If I am one of those loud managers now, then I'm very sorry indeed. :-)